Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 261842
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0140 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Valid 281200Z - 041200Z

A strong mid-level trough will shift into the Upper Midwest on
Sunday/Monday. Beyond Monday a more zonal pattern should lead to
relatively benign fire weather conditions for much of the day 4-8
period. The only exception will be mid-week when some potential for
lee cyclogenesis in Colorado may increase fire-weather potential.

...Day 3/Sunday - Southern High Plains...
Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the southern High
Plains again on Sunday. These conditions should be mostly confined
to southeast New Mexico and vicinity where stronger mid-level flow
should be present and at least some weak lee cyclogenesis is
possible with a passing weak mid-level shortwave trough.

...Day 6/Wednesday - eastern New Mexico...
Some forecast guidance shows a mid-level shortwave trough moving
across the Rockies by mid-week with a lee cyclone developing. If
this occurs, some dry and breezy conditions will be likely across
portions of eastern New Mexico. However, there is still considerable
model uncertainty with respect to the evolution of the pattern, and
winds are relatively weak with forecast solutions which do have a
stronger lee cyclone. For those reasons, no probabilities have been
added at this time. The pattern will continue to be monitored.

..Bentley.. 04/26/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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