Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
943
FNUS72 KFFC 020625
FWSFFC
Spot Forecast for Pineknot A5 Willetts Lake...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
225 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Good morning Mike,
This morning winds will start out light at less than 5mph out of
the NE. As the day goes on, winds should gradually pick up to
between 8-10mph. They`ll remain out of the east, but we`ll see a
shift from NE this morning to more SE by mid afternoon. Transport
winds are expected to follow the same trend through the morning.
The only time you may have an issue with smoke on 355 is before
10am when winds are light and our dispersion values are at their
lowest. By late morning, winds should be pushing smoke into the
Peachtree Branch Ravine.
The rest of the fire WX matrix looks great for a day of burning.
Plenty of sunshine and minimum RH values this afternoon falling
into the mid 30s.
As always, if you have any further questions or concerns for your
burn today please feel free to give us a call and we`ll be happy
to provide you with what you need.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Dewpoint............60.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 8 to
9 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (60300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 77 in the
afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 6.0 early in the afternoon,
then increasing to 7.0 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 6.0 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
Sky (%).........7 6 15 18 26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0
Temp............70 82 86 89 88
Dewpoint........61 62 59 58 58
RH..............74 50 40 36 37
20 ft wind......E 5 E 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 7
20 ft wind gust.8 10 12 13 12
Mix hgt (ft)....1300 4900 6500 6800 6300
Transport wind..E 7 E 12 SE 12 SE 9 SE 8
LVORI...........4 1 1 1 1
ADI.............12 65 77 70 60
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 49 58 57 47
Ventrate Cat....POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 6.0 7.0 6.0
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Dewpoint............61.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening and
overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (35700 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (700 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................43 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
the night.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......6.0 increasing to 25 in the late evening and
overnight, then decreasing to 20 after 3 am
decreasing to 15 after 3 am decreasing to 12.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........28 31 25 32 47 36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 10 0 0
Temp............87 80 74 72 69 66
Dewpoint........59 61 62 63 62 63
RH..............38 52 65 74 80 88
20 ft wind......SE 7 S 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 3
20 ft wind gust.10 8 6 7 6 6
Mix hgt (ft)....4800 200 200 200 200 200
Transport wind..S 8 S 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 S 5
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 4 6
ADI.............43 3 2 2 2 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..36 1 1 1 1 1
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
Ceiling (kft)...6.0 6.0 25 25 25 15
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Dewpoint............63 decreasing to 59 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (48800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 63 in the
afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......10 decreasing to 8.0 early in the morning, then
decreasing to 7.0 early in the morning
decreasing to 6.0 late in the morning
decreasing to 4.0 decreasing to 3.0 late in the
morning increasing to 4.0 increasing to 5.0
late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........44 52 62 64 62 52
Weather cov..... S CHC
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 20
Temp............65 67 74 80 84 85
Dewpoint........64 64 65 64 61 60
RH..............93 90 73 58 47 42
20 ft wind......S 3 S 3 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6
20 ft wind gust.6 6 8 10 13 13
Mix hgt (ft)....200 200 2100 3200 4700 4900
Transport wind..S 5 S 5 SW 7 SW 10 S 13 S 12
LVORI...........6 6 3 1 1 1
ADI.............2 4 17 33 49 63
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 15 27 49 46
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
Ceiling (kft)...10 7.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0
$$
Forecaster...Ty Vaughn
Requested by...Mike Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412958.0/FFC
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.thompson@tnc.org