Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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Spot Forecast for MNDK Rx Training...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
404 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Upper level low will track from central Minnesota at sunrise to
near Chicago by late today.  Clouds, spotty showers with this system
will be present, then clearing.  A period of gusty north winds
will occur this morning and midday with gusts 30 mph or higher
possible.



.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) this morning then
                    becoming mostly sunny (30-40 percent).  Slight
                    chance of a morning shower.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. North winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to
                    around 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 25 to 30 mph decreasing to around 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....31100 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 94100 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  85  80  82  83  73  63  53  42  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............41  42  43  44  46  48  49  51  54  53
RH..............92  91  85  78  74  67  58  52  44  44
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..20  20  20  20  25  20  20  20  20  15
20 FT wind gust.23  26  26  27  27  27  25  23  23  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.9 5.1
Mixing wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Mixing wind spd.25  25  25  30  30  30  25  25  20  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32  47  50  58  68  76  79  81  94  91

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 5 mph late in the evening,
                    then shifting to the east overnight shifting to
                    the southeast overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
                    early in the evening, then shifting to the east
                    overnight shifting to the southeast after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....83000 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 1700 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........19     8      7      5      5      5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............52     49     43     39     36     33
RH..............44     46     55     62     67     74
20 ft wind......N 15   N 10   N 5    NE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 ft wind gust.20     14     9      7      6      7
Mix hgt (ft)....5100   700    500    400    300    300
Mixing wind.....N 20   N 10   N 10   NE 5   SE 10  SE 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..83     7      4      3      2      3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph becoming 5 to 10 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2300 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    64700 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........5         6         7         26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............32        40        54        59
RH..............78        64        36        29
20 FT wind......SE 5G8    S 5G9     S 5G11    S 10G12
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1200      3900      5600
Mixing wind.....S 10      S 10      SW 10     S 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2         11        34        60

$$
Forecaster...DR
Requested by...Eric Hoff
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411675.1/FGF
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ehoff@tnc.org


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