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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 202000
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
100 PM MST Sat Apr 20 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Warm, dry, and perfect weather will persist the next
several days before winds begin to increase towards the middle to
end of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Beautiful weather continues with temperatures generally
5 to 15 degrees above average today through Tuesday. Few to scattered
clouds in the afternoon will help take the edge off the warmer
temperatures, allowing you to more gradually acclimate to the
pristine conditions. However, don`t expect any precipitation from
these vertically limited clouds; the best you might see is isolated
virga. Winds will be mostly light with a few elevated gusts in the
afternoon.

With a series of troughs projected to push across the region later
this week, some changes to the forecast are expected. For now,
confidence is high only around the increasing southwesterly winds.
Expect breezy conditions by Tuesday, becoming stronger to end the
week. Just less than half of the GFS ensemble members show
measurable precipitation in the area by next weekend with the
ECMWF members even less bullish. Obviously there is no need to
pack an umbrella just yet, but stay tuned as the week progresses.

&&

.AVIATION...Saturday 20/18Z through Sunday 21/18Z...VFR conditions
with SW winds 5-15 kts, becoming light and variable after 02Z.

OUTLOOK...Sunday 21/18Z through Tuesday 23/18Z...VFR conditions
with variable winds 5-15 kts on Sunday, becoming SW 10-20 kts on
Monday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Sunday and Monday...Very warm and dry weather with
W-SW winds 10-20 mph. Afternoon RH 10-20%.

Tuesday through Thursday...Very warm and dry weather continues. SW
winds 15-25 mph each afternoon with gusts 30-35 mph. Afternoon RH 10-
20%, increasing to 15-25% on Thursday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Mazon
AVIATION...Meola
FIRE WEATHER...Meola

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff