Smoke Management Weather Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

000
FNUS75 KGJT 242019
SMFGJT

SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST FOR WESTERN COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
219 PM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND WARM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER WESTERN
COLORADO THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS ALOFT
WILL BE SLOWLY DECLINING THROUGH THIS PERIOD MAKING CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS MORE LOCALIZED AFTER TOMORROW AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY
STRONGER INVERSIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH THE LIGHTER WINDS
IN PLACE SO POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH MID MORNING
ON SATURDAY BEFORE MIXING PUSHES THINGS BACK INTO THE EXCELLENT
CATEGORY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS WELL.

...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...

COZ200-251200-
ZONE 200...LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LITTLE SNAKE RIVER BASIN AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 8
                    MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 0900 THEN
                    INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ201-251200-
ZONE 201...ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
WEST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...NORTHERN FLAT TOPS
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 MPH UNTIL 2400.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING
                    TO 12000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ202-251200-
ZONE 202...WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LOWER AND CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200..
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING
                    TO 13500 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ203-251200-
ZONE 203...GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHERN ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS...GRAND VALLEY...
DEBEQUE/RIFLE/GLENWOOD SPRINGS AND VICINITY...
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN...
BATTLEMENT MESA AND NORTHERN GRAND MESA...
NORTHERN ELK MOUNTAINS...WEST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...
SOUTHERN FLAT TOPS AND WHITE RIVER PLATEAU...
NORTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING
                    TO 14500 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ290-251200-
ZONE 290...PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...PARADOX VALLEY
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400..
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO 15500
                    FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 MPH.

=
$$

COZ291-251200-
ZONE 291...NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...NORTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING AND
AGAIN FROM NOON TO 9 PM ON SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HAINES INDEX OF 6 AND DRY FUELS BELOW
9500 FEET...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400..
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200..
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO
                    14000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ292-251200-
ZONE 292...NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASINS...
SOUTHERN GRAND MESA...SOUTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO
                    LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN 16 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO
                    17000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.

=
$$

COZ293-251200-
ZONE 293...GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...WEST SLOPES SAWATCH RANGE...
SOUTHERN ELK AND WEST ELK MOUNTAINS...UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING
                    TO 15500 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH.

=
$$

COZ207-251200-
ZONE 207...DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...FOUR CORNERS...
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN...SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN
1117 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING AND
AGAIN FROM NOON TO 9 PM ON SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HAINES INDEX OF 6 AND DRY FUELS BELOW
8500 FEET...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. ..DECREASING TO LESS THAN
                    1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING
                    TO 14000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH.

=
$$