Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
000
FNUS53 KGRR 161851
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
251 PM EDT Sat Mar 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds turn to the northwest tonight behind the front. Light
rain and snow showers will be possible overnight before transitioning
to all snow by Sunday morning. Little to no accumulations are
expected. Northwest winds will continue to gust 20 to 30 mph Sunday
with snow becoming more likely along the lakeshore Sunday night into
Monday morning where a couple inches are possible. Minimum relative
humidity values do not drop below 40 until Wednesday, where dry
conditions and gusty northwest winds are expected.
MIZ037>039-043>045-170830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
251 PM EDT Sat Mar 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 11 PM. Slight chance of snow
showers after 9 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....27-32.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....660-990 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....31-36.
24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1180-1260 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....22-27.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....710-920 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
showers until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....31-36.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1040-1050 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-170830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
251 PM EDT Sat Mar 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
snow showers after 3 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....510-760 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
snow showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....33-38.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1210-1350 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 25.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....690-1020 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 35.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....970-1120 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-170830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
251 PM EDT Sat Mar 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2 AM. Slight chance of snow
showers after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........70-75 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1800-2300 ft AGL increasing
to 4200-4700 ft AGL overnight.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-710 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 36.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1190-1410 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 28.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3600-4100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....810-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
showers until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 36.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1110-1180 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-170830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
251 PM EDT Sat Mar 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
snow showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73-78 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
snow showers until 7 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 37.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1240-1380 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 27.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....660-960 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 36.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....990-1210 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-170830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
251 PM EDT Sat Mar 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
snow showers after 4 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........73-78 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....490-720 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
snow showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....35-40.
24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1160-1540 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of snow
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....660-920 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 37.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1080-1190 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers
overnight. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 11 to
16 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
13 to 18 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. North winds 8 to
13 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. North winds 8 to
13 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 20s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow showers and showers.
Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Chance of light freezing rain overnight. Lows in the upper
20s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.
$$