Text Products for FWS Issued by MHX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
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000
FNUS72 KMHX 241243
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for SN...USMC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
843 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front with limited moisture will approach the area today
and cross the region tonight. Predominantly SW winds through the
afternoon will become variable early this evening as a prefrontal
trough pushes into the area and stalls. A few showers are possible
this evening but chances of a wetting rain is low. High pressure
builds back into the area from the north on Thursday and
eventually slides offshore this weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph with gusts to around
                    15 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 108099 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 117.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.96 to 30.07 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  21  17  15  18  14  13  22  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  65  70  72  75  75  76  77  76
RH..............65  58  49  46  41  43  42  42  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.0 3.1 3.9 5.2 6.2 6.6 6.7 5.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  20  21  18  17  15  15  16  15
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............36  51  79  86  103 102 107 117 92
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.27  40  64  72  90  92  98  108 81
Sfc pres (in)...007 006 005 004 002 000 998 996 996

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy. Scattered rain
                    showers in the evening.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light and variable, then becoming northwest
                    around 5 mph overnight shifting to the north.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 14 mph shifting to the south around 6
                    mph overnight, then shifting to the west around
                    5 mph overnight shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph after 3 am.
Vent Rate...........Min 1954 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 3.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.96 to 30.05 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  54  60  59  50  41  42  42  44  45  45  42
Weather cov.....ISO ISO SCT SCT ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  71  66  64  62  61  60  59  58  57  57  56
RH..............50  57  70  78  87  87  90  93  96  100 96  96
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  N   N   N   E   SW  W   NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..6   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.    5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  W   W   SW  S   SE  W   NW  N   NW
Transp wind spd.14  10  9   7   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   6   6   6   6   8   9   8   8
ADI.............56  7   4   3   3   3   3   4   3   4   4   4
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.46  5   4   3   3   2   2   3   2   3   2   3
Sfc pres (in)...996 997 999 001 003 004 005 004 004 004 004 004

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 6 to 8 mph with gusts to 15 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast 10
                    to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 63364 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
ADI.................Max 76.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.06 to 30.14 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........37     30     18     18     30     40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............56     58     65     71     73     72
RH..............96     90     68     53     48     51
20 ft wind......N 4    N 4    NE 5   NE 6   NE 5   SE 7
20 ft wind gust.5      5      9      9      9      14
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    2300   4100   6900   4900
Transport wind..N 6    N 9    N 12   NE 8   N 9    NE 10
LVORI...........8      5      3      1      1      1
ADI.............3      9      34     39     76     60
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2      6      26     33     63     52
Sfc pres (in)...30.06  30.11  30.13  30.13  30.10  30.10

$$
Forecaster...Kennedy
Requested by...Barrett Baker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412206.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL norton.baker@usmc.mil
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
