Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 080943
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for WS17 & 18...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
543 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Good morning. Light south breeze this morning will
turn out of the southwest by afternoon. Isolated showers may
develop in vicinity of the burn site after 5 pm as a result of
a nearby sea breeze collision. Otherwise hot and dry with deep
mixing heights and min RH values dropping near 35 percent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny. Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1700, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 69.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   5   2   3   4   6   7   9   11  17  22  28
Weather cov.....                                            SCH
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........                                            SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Temp............70  70  73  79  84  87  91  93  95  96  96  96
RH..............90  90  87  74  63  57  49  44  40  38  36  38
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.7 4.1 5.3 6.1 6.8 7.6 7.7 7.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..3   3   8   14  21  33  40  49  58  65  72  73
LVORI...........6   6   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2300, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....67 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........30     33     38     32     15     11
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     0      0      0
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1
Temp............96     88     82     78     75     74
RH..............38     55     69     79     84     87
20 ft wind......SW 8   W 7    SW 6   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....7200   700    2100   1100   500    400
Transport wind..SW 9   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   W 5    SW 5
Dispersion idx..67     4      3      3      2      2
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      5      6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 68.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........10        13        10        5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............74        79        90        95
RH..............87        77        50        37
20 FT wind......SW 6      S 9G10    SW 10G16  SW 13G18
Mix hgt (ft)....400       2000      4000      6000
Transport wind..SW 7      S 13      SW 15     SW 15
Dispersion idx..3         31        58        64
LVORI...........6         3         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Benjamin Bandor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413450.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ben.bandor@floridadep.gov