655
FNUS73 KMPX 091504
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Minowa WMA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1004 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...More clouds than sun expected today, with a small
chance of a few showers/thunderstorms mainly through mid-afternoon.
Winds will come from the north at around 15 mph, gusting to 20-25 mph,
with RH values bottoming out between 50-55 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
Temperature.........58 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................75 percent at ignition...Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 14 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 14 to 17 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /27100 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /67000 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  MCR
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............58  58  60  61  63  63  63  63  62  59  55  53
RH..............75  75  72  67  60  58  56  54  54  60  66  71
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..14  15  16  16  17  16  15  14  12  9   8   6
20 FT wind gust.18  20  22  22  23  22  22  20  17  14  13  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.3 2.2 2.3 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.8 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  N   N
Transp wind spd.16  17  18  21  21  21  20  18  15  10  9   9
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 14 mph shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (61300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 18 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 8 mph overnight, then shifting to the
                    northwest 6 to 7 mph overnight shifting to the
                    west 7 to 8 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 15 to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (99800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (128200
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 18 mph increasing to northwest 21 to
                    29 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Calderone
Requested by...Chad August
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413612.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Chad.august@state.mn.us