Land Management Forecasts Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
000
FNUS86 KSGX 151037
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
337 AM PDT SAT JUN 15 2013
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## ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035- ##
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## LAXECCSGX ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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## discussions in the fire weather forecast (and ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS
Discussion from LAXFWFSGX
MINOR DAY TO DAY DIFFERENCES FOR THE NEXT WEEK AS TROUGHS OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVE INLAND TO THE NORTH. SLIGHT INLAND COOLING AND SLIGHT
DEEPENING OF THE MARINE LAYER FOR TODAY...THEN SLIGHT INLAND WARMING
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...COOLING FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THEN
WARMING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN PERIODS OF
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS...MAINLY
EACH LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING.
Discussion from LAXFWFLOX
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE
REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TURN ONSHORE AND BECOME BREEZY OVER
INTERIOR AREAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...THEN REOCCUR EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY AIR WITH HUMIDITIES INTO THE
LOW TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS WILL IMPACT THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERTS...WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES UNDER 30 PERCENT OVER THE
HIGHER PEAKS. AS A RESULT...A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT DURATIONS SHOULD NOT EXCEED RED FLAG
CRITERIA. COASTAL AND NEARBY VALLEY AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE
MARINE LAYER GOOD HUMIDITIES UNDER A SOLID MARINE LAYER.
AS THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD NEXT WEEK...THE FLOW WILL SHIFT
FROM SOUTHWESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY...AND IMPACT THE I-5
CORRIDOR...SANTA YNEZ RANGE...AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...ESPECIALLY
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CONTINUED DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED AS WELL...EXCEPT FOR A PERSISTENT BUT SHALLOWER MARINE
LAYER NEAR THE COAST.
Discussion from SFOFWFHNX
A DRY SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL OCCUR OVER
THE DISTRICT THROUGH MONDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH RESIDES OFF THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO NORMAL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND THEN DROP BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS NEXT WEEK AS
THE TROUGH MOVES INLAND. WINDS WILL REMAIN DIURNALLY DRIVEN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THEN INCREASE WITH THE ONSET OF THE COOLER
AIR.
Discussion from RNOFWFVEF
OVERALL THE AREA WILL BE UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. LOCALLY BREEZY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH SOMEWHAT LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK
AND COULD GET PRETTY STRONG. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT A BATCH OF
MID LEVEL MOISTURE COULD GET PULLED INTO MOHAVE COUNTY SATURDAY AND
COMBINE WITH INSTABILITY TO GENERATE A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. AT THIS
TIME THOUGH THE LIKELYHOOD IS LOW ENOUGH TO NOT OFFICIALLY PUT IN
THE FORECAST AND JUST CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN.
Discussion from PHXFWFPSR
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD FROM MEXICO WILL PRODUCE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF PHOENIX ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING STRIKES...WITH
LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE
IN THE 5 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE TODAY...AND THE 3 TO 13 PERCENT
RANGE ON SUNDAY...WITH FAIR TO POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.
...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
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ECC033-152237-
DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
337 AM PDT SAT JUN 15 2013
MINOR DAY TO DAY DIFFERENCES FOR THE NEXT WEEK AS TROUGHS OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVE INLAND TO THE NORTH. SLIGHT INLAND COOLING AND SLIGHT
DEEPENING OF THE MARINE LAYER FOR TODAY...THEN SLIGHT INLAND WARMING
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...COOLING FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THEN
WARMING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN PERIODS OF
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS...MAINLY
EACH LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING.
$$
ECC034-152237-
DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
337 AM PDT SAT JUN 15 2013
MINOR DAY TO DAY DIFFERENCES FOR THE NEXT WEEK AS TROUGHS OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVE INLAND TO THE NORTH. SLIGHT INLAND COOLING AND SLIGHT
DEEPENING OF THE MARINE LAYER FOR TODAY...THEN SLIGHT INLAND WARMING
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...COOLING FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THEN
WARMING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN PERIODS OF
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS...MAINLY
EACH LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING.
$$
ECC035-152237-
DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
337 AM PDT SAT JUN 15 2013
MINOR DAY TO DAY DIFFERENCES FOR THE NEXT WEEK AS TROUGHS OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVE INLAND TO THE NORTH. SLIGHT INLAND COOLING AND SLIGHT
DEEPENING OF THE MARINE LAYER FOR TODAY...THEN SLIGHT INLAND WARMING
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...COOLING FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THEN
WARMING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN PERIODS OF
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS...MAINLY
EACH LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING.
$$