Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
000
FXUS64 KTSA 182315
AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
615 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Strong cold front currently passing through NE OK will continue
steady progress eastward and clear western AR and far SE OK by
mid evening. Scattered storms will remain possible along the
boundary before it clears the forecast area with breezy northerly
winds and noticeably cooler temperatures overnight.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Thursday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Cooler and dry weather prevails Friday with the next wave inducing
a broad region of upglide and expanding precip from late Friday
night through Saturday. Guidance continues to favor the bulk of
the precip across the southern half of the forecast area and
points southward. The heaviest rainfall totals are also likely to
remain south of the Red River through Saturday night. Widespread
cloud cover and ongoing precip will keep Saturday temps seasonably
cold with high temps 10-15 degrees below normal.
Sfc high overhead on Sunday yields a pleasant day with increasing
winds and warming temps on Monday. The next cold front passes on
Tuesday with the next chance of showers and storms. The developing
pattern for mid to late next week looks increasingly unsettled and
daily thunderstorm chances will remain in the forecast with
specific details refined in later forecasts. Typical for this time
of the year.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
A cold front moving thru the region will bring a period of mainly
MVFR cigs to the TAF sites this evening. The far NW AR sites may
see a short period of IFR cigs as well. The E OK sites are
expected to scatter out or see rising cigs to VFR overnight into
Friday morning. The NW AR sites will see rising cigs to VFR after
daybreak Friday. Gusty N winds to around 20 kts can be expected
behind the front.
Lacy
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 45 68 48 61 / 0 10 40 50
FSM 53 72 52 60 / 40 20 60 60
MLC 50 70 51 58 / 0 20 80 80
BVO 41 66 44 62 / 0 0 20 40
FYV 45 69 46 61 / 20 10 40 50
BYV 46 66 47 61 / 40 10 30 30
MKO 48 69 49 59 / 0 10 60 60
MIO 43 65 45 60 / 10 0 20 30
F10 47 68 49 58 / 0 10 60 70
HHW 51 69 52 58 / 50 20 80 90
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...30