Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 300501
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1201 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST IS STILL ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

/61/


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A LINE OF CONVECTION ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI WILL PUSH
SLOWLY SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND POSSIBLY REACH THE I-20 CORRIDOR
IN THE 10Z TO 12Z TIME RANGE. INTRODUCED VCTS TO NORTHERN TAF
SITES BEFORE 12Z AND KEPT VCTS IN FORECAST THRU MID AFTERNOON.
THE ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BECOME LESS LINEAR AND MORE WIDESPREAD
DURING THE HEATING OF THE DAY. IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE
CONVECTION WILL END ACROSS THE AREA BY 21Z AS THE SHORT WAVE TROF
PULLS OUT. SOME CLOUDS WILL LIKELY FORM ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA
BEFORE 12Z...BUT LOW LEVEL MIXING WILL LIKELY KEEP CIGS ABOVE 3000
FEET AGL. LIGHTER WINDS AT KTOI MAY ALLOW FOR SOME FOG FORMATION
BETWEEN 10Z AND 12Z...BUT MAINLY ABOVE 3 MILES DUE TO HIGHER WINDS
JUST OFF THE SURFACE.

58/ROSE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINFALL WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEK. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PREVAIL OUT OF THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     69  87  68  87  70 /  40  70  40  50  60
ANNISTON    68  86  68  87  70 /  30  70  40  50  60
BIRMINGHAM  72  87  71  88  72 /  30  70  30  50  50
TUSCALOOSA  71  89  70  89  73 /  30  70  30  50  40
CALERA      70  85  70  88  72 /  20  60  40  50  40
AUBURN      69  86  69  87  71 /  20  50  40  50  40
MONTGOMERY  71  90  71  91  73 /  20  50  40  50  30
TROY        70  90  70  90  72 /  20  50  40  50  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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