Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 230426
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1126 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE 06Z TAF DISCUSSION IS INCLUDED BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
NO CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE 00Z FORECAST. THE LATEST
GUIDANCE WAS HINTING AT SOME MVFR FOG POTENTIAL AT KBVO.
HOWEVER...MODEL TIME/HEIGHT RH PLOTS SHOW AN UNFAVORABLE
HYDROLAPSE WITH VERY SHALLOW MOISTURE NEAR THE GROUND. IN
ADDITION...TEMPS FELL RIGHT THRU THE DEWPOINT LAST NIGHT...AND NO
FOG DEVELOPED. THUS WILL MAINTAIN VFR AT ALL SITES THIS FORECAST.
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE SOME AFT 16Z TUESDAY
MORNING...WITH SOME GUST POTENTIAL TO NEAR 15 KTS ONLY OVER NE
OK...SUBSIDING BY 00Z. HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SOME...ESPECIALLY
BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST.

LACY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 908 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING ABOUT THE ONLY ITEM OF
NOTE ACROSS ERN OK AND NW AR. SETTLED WEATHER PATTERN TO REMAIN IN
PLACE FOR AT LEAST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. CURRENT FORECAST
LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE...THEREFORE LITTLE TO NO ADJUSTMENTS ARE
REQUIRED TO FIRST PERIOD ELEMENTS.

NO UPDATE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   55  80  56  82 /   0  10  10  10
FSM   55  80  53  82 /   0  10  10  10
MLC   54  80  54  82 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   51  78  51  81 /   0  10  10  10
FYV   47  77  47  78 /   0  10  10  10
BYV   50  76  49  79 /   0  10  10  10
MKO   53  78  54  80 /   0  10  10  10
MIO   52  77  53  79 /   0  10  10  10
F10   56  79  56  81 /   0  10  10  10
HHW   55  80  54  82 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...30





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