Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
WGUS82 KTBW 021555
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT
WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.THE HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK HAVE ENDED AND THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WILL BE MUCH DRIER. ALL RIVER LEVELS WILL SEE SOME RELIEVE AND THE FLOODING
WILL END OVER MOST AREAS. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND BUT NOT ENOUGH RAIN WILL FALL TO CAUSE NEW FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-031555-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141002T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR THIS LEVEL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   9.6  THU 11 AM   9.4    9.2    8.7    8.4    8.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-031555-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T0600Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 29
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  14.9  THU 11 AM  14.1   13.5   12.9   12.4   12.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-031048-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T1048Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T0448Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP 17
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  12.1  THU 11 AM  10.6    9.9    9.4    8.9    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-031554-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141006T0600Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141003T0000Z.141006T0000Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND
  THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  11.5  THU 11 AM  11.7   11.5   11.1   10.8   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-031554-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141006T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.141002T1530Z.141006T0000Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP 26
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  13.9  THU 11 AM  13.4   12.7   12.2   11.8   11.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$




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