Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 010911
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
411 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION FROM NORTH TO SOUTH EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH A FEW SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. A STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZING
IN THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY
TONIGHT THEN MOVE ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA ON MONDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE A
WIDE SWATH OF HEAVY SNOW TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW TRACK TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY INCLUDING ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK ALONG
WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF
FROM WEST TO EAST MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
DEVELOP IN ITS WAKE...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

NYZ001-002-010-011-012115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
411 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60          100          100
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         SNOW         SNOW
MAX/MIN TEMP                       22            7           12
AM WIND (MPH)                   NE 10                     NE 21
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE 14         E 17         N 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.37         0.38
PRECIP DURATION                     4           12           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               74           85           68
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3150          770         3150
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 10         E 19        NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               31500        14630        40950
DISPERSION INDEX                   32           15           41
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-012115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
411 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100          100          100
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW         SNOW
MAX/MIN TEMP                       26            9           18
AM WIND (MPH)                    N  5                     NE 14
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  9         E 13        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.11         0.49         0.25
PRECIP DURATION                     9           12           11
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               73           84           69
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2900          590         2900
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  6         E 15         N 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               17400         8850        52200
DISPERSION INDEX                   17            9           52
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-012115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
411 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50          100          100
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         SNOW         SNOW
MAX/MIN TEMP                       22            9           14
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 10                     NE 18
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE 10        NE 11         N 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.36         0.41
PRECIP DURATION                     4           12           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               68           83           66
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2860          650         3140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 13        NE 15        NW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37180         9750        50240
DISPERSION INDEX                   37           10           50
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-012115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
411 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           90          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         SNOW         SNOW
MAX/MIN TEMP                       13            0           12
AM WIND (MPH)                    N  9                     NE 14
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  7        NE  7         N 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.13         0.39
PRECIP DURATION                                  6           12
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57           76           61
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2620          560         3230
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  7        NE  9        NE 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               18340         5040        41990
DISPERSION INDEX                   18            5           42
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
1.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 18.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND
16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 5.
HIGHS AROUND 13.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 4 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 18.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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