Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 300233
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1033 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW, CUT OFF FROM THE MAIN JET STREAM, WILL MEANDER
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND UPCOMING
WEEKEND. THIS LOW WILL KEEP UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH A FEW ROUNDS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM TIME TO TIME.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY WILL RUN NEAR AVERAGE, WITH ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT, THANKS TO THE ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER
EXPECTED.

NYZ001-002-010-011-300900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
1033 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                              TONIGHT          FRI    FRI NIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           40           50           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       53           65           52           66
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E 10                      E  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 11         E 12         E 11         E  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.06         0.06         0.08         0.25
PRECIP DURATION                     3            2            2            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM        10 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                      10 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               99           61          100           70
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               220         2570          620         1720
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 12         E 20         E 11         E 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                2640        51400         6820        18920
DISPERSION INDEX                    3           51            7           19
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-300900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1033 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                              TONIGHT          FRI    FRI NIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           60           50           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       50           64           50           67
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  8                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  8         E 11         E 10        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.20         0.09         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                     4            6            2            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           61          100           68
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               200         3040          390         4100
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 12         E 16        SE 10        SE  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                2400        48640         3900        36900
DISPERSION INDEX                    2           49            4           37
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-300900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1033 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                              TONIGHT          FRI    FRI NIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40           40           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       51           65           52           66
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  6                      E  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  8         E 10         E  9         E  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.06         0.05         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                     1            2            2            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM        10 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       9 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           55          100           66
HAINES INDEX                        2            4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               130         2480          390         2130
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 11         E 15         E  9         E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1430        37200         3510        21300
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           37            4           21
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-300900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1033 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                              TONIGHT          FRI    FRI NIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       47           67           47           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  6                      E  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  6         E  6         E  6         E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.04         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                                               2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                               7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               93           36           94           59
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                30         3130           50         2500
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 11         E 10         E 11         E  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 330        31300          550        20000
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           31            1           20
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$



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