Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 211849
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
149 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will push into the far northwest part of
the state overnight accompanied by a few scattered
light rain showers.

For the second half of this week, unseasonably mild
air will push back into the district from the southwest,
as a wavering and nearly stationary frontal boundary stays just
to our north.

Strengthening low pressure will move northeast across the
Upper Great Lakes late Friday into early Saturday. The cold
front trailing south from this low will bring showers, and
perhaps even a few...to several hour period of steady rain
during the day Saturday. Gusty west wind of 35 to 45 mph
will likely develop in the wake of the front Saturday into
Saturday night.

PAZ004>006-010-011-220915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
149 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                   showers      showers      showers      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  40           20           20           30
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+9)      62 (+9)           45           62
RH % (24h trend)              89 (+8)     54 (+31)          100           58
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SW  5                     SW  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  7        SW  6        SW  5        SW  6
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.04         0.01         0.05
Precip Duration                     5            2            1            2
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             70         5180          110         2750
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  3        SW 15         S  6        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        83750            0        67520
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Showers with snow showers likely. Cooler.
Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
in the mid 20s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-220915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
149 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                   showers      showers         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  30           30           10           30
Temp (24h trend)              38 (+8)     63 (+12)           44           64
RH % (24h trend)             93 (+18)     50 (+24)          100           54
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  6        SW  5      LGT/VAR        SW  5
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.01         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration                     1            3                         2
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing   Continuing         7 AM
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         7 PM   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             90         5640           90         4280
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  2        SW 12         S  2        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        66270            0        73490
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Windy. Showers with snow showers likely. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the
upper 20s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-220915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
149 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                   showers      showers         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  30           30           10           40
Temp (24h trend)              43 (+9)     64 (+10)           47           66
RH % (24h trend)             89 (+10)     54 (+20)          100           54
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SW  6                     SW  7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  7        SW  6        SW  5    SW  7 G17
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.01         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration                     3            3                         2
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing   Continuing         7 AM
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         7 PM   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             50         5830            0         4680
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW  5        SW 10         S  7        SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        60510            0        81430
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Windy. Showers with snow showers likely. Much cooler.
Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 25 to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid
20s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 40. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
around 30. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-220915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
149 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                   showers      showers         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  20           30           10           20
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+7)     65 (+11)           44           68
RH % (24h trend)             93 (+12)     47 (+20)          100           49
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW  5
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration                     1            3                         1
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing   Continuing         7 AM
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         7 PM   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             80         5990          100         3600
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  2        SW  8         S  3         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        57970            0        57240
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
30 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the
upper 20s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Colder. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-220915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
149 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                   showers      showers         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  50           20           10           20
Temp (24h trend)             36 (+10)     62 (+14)           43           63
RH % (24h trend)              96 (+4)     48 (+26)          100           56
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SW  5                     SW  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  9 G19        SW  6        SW  6        SW  7
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.03         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                     3            3                         1
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing   Continuing         7 AM
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         7 PM   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             70         3410           20         1950
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  5        SW 10         S  5         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        48090            0        32380
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 40. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. South winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...Windy. Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 25 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
in the mid 20s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-220915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
149 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                   showers      showers         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  20           30           10           20
Temp (24h trend)              35 (+8)     63 (+14)           41           66
RH % (24h trend)              92 (+4)     46 (+20)          100           52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                     3            3                         1
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing   Continuing         7 AM
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         7 PM   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            190         2850           60         1980
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  3        SW  7         S  5         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        28420            0        30370
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Windy. Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler.
Highs in the mid 50s. South winds 25 to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 30. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Colder. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-220915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
149 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None      showers         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  10           20           10           20
Temp (24h trend)              38 (+8)     65 (+13)           44           69
RH % (24h trend)             93 (+12)     49 (+22)          100           51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW  5
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                                  1                         1
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing                      7 AM
Precip End                 Continuing         1 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         4140            0         3430
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  7        SW  6         S  6         S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        33380            0        58000
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Windy. Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 25 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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