Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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515
FNUS51 KCTP 170914
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
514 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and increasingly humid air will surge into the district
from the southwest this afternoon and tonight as a warm front
draped east to west across the Central Appalachians and Ohio
River Valley lifts north across Pennsylvania.

Expect showers and thunderstorms, some with locally heavy rain
and frequent lightning to spread in from the southwest late
today, and become more frequent tonight into early Friday
morning.

An approaching cold front will spark more thunderstorms during
the day Friday, especially across the eastern half of the state
where some may become strong to severe. Cooler and drier should
improve our weekend weather. A ridge builds in early next week
and we should warm up before another northern stream cold front
triggers showers again and ushers in cooler drier around
mid-week.

PAZ004>006-010-011-172115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
514 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           90           40
Temp (24h trend)              82 (+4)      63 (+6)           82
RH % (24h trend)             54 (+16)      100 (0)           56
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR    SW  8 G17
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.48         0.15
Precip Duration                     2           10            4
Precip Begin                     9 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5470          830         6240
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 15         S 15        SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               78770         1660       135010
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-172115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
514 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           90           50
Temp (24h trend)              83 (+2)      66 (+6)           83
RH % (24h trend)             53 (+20)      100 (0)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR    SW  8 G18
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.53         0.33
Precip Duration                     1           10            4
Precip Begin                    11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6380          910         6540
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 12         S 13         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               76960         4930       126640
Dispersion                          5            3            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around
80. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. West winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-172115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
514 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  40           80           40
Temp (24h trend)              81 (+2)      64 (+3)           80
RH % (24h trend)             61 (+17)      100 (0)           60
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                 SW  7 G20
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR     W 10 G22
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.67         0.33
Precip Duration                     2           12            4
Precip Begin                    11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6110          250         5650
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 10         S 12         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               63470            0       109730
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-172115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, and Bedford
514 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       Cloudy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           70           50
Temp (24h trend)               84 (0)      66 (+4)           85
RH % (24h trend)             55 (+17)      100 (0)           58
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR    SW  7 G17
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.51         0.36
Precip Duration                     1           10            4
Precip Begin                    11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5680          650         6410
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 10         S 12        SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               62010          580       105940
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-172115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
514 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           80           50
Temp (24h trend)              80 (+3)      65 (+8)           82
RH % (24h trend)              54 (+7)      100 (0)           60
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                      S  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR     S  6 G17        SW  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.30         0.34
Precip Duration                                  9            4
Precip Begin                                  6 PM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4960          610         6820
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 12         S 16        SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               58860         1870       126900
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-172115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
514 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  10           80           60
Temp (24h trend)               84 (0)      66 (+5)           85
RH % (24h trend)             49 (+12)      100 (0)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW  5
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.29         0.43
Precip Duration                     1            9           10
Precip Begin                    11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5200          480         5990
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 10         S 14        SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               52460            0       110660
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ035-036-056>059-063>066-172115-
Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-
York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Newport,
Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg,
York, and Lancaster
514 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           70           70
Temp (24h trend)               85 (0)      67 (+3)           86
RH % (24h trend)             55 (+18)      100 (0)           59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW  5
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.18         0.39
Precip Duration                     1            5            9
Precip Begin                    11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6150            0         5760
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  9         S 12        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               56580            0        87730
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$



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