Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 060749
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
349 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND LIGHT
WINDS TODAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING NEAR 70 AND MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE 30S. THE NEXT COLD FRONT
WILL QUICKLY SHIFT ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED AGAIN ON SUNDAY...BEFORE A
MORE ACTIVE AND WETTER PATTERN SETS UP LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-062115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
349 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4940-5440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6250-6750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1370).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-062115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
349 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5570-6070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4410-4910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-062115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
349 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7140-7640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5170-5670 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

CB



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