Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS53 KEAX 160848
FWFEAX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NE KANSAS/NW MISSOURI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
348 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE REGION TODAY
ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
WESTERN PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS
ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI TODAY...WITH SPEEDS WELL IN
EXCESS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS --SOUTH WIND WITH SPEEDS
RANGING 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH--. QUESTION THEN IS HOW
WILL HUMIDITY VALUES RESPOND...AND GIVEN THE LACK OF AVAILABLE MOISTER
NOTED ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY TO OUR SOUTH...LEFT THINKING THAT
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RAPIDLY MIX OUT LATE THIS MORNING WITH VALUES
DROPPING BELOW 25% IN MANY AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF
HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS...SO WILL ISSUE A WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
FOR TODAY.


KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054-162230-
MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-
JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...LEAVENWORTH...
KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PARKVILLE...
PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...
KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...BUTLER...
RICH HILL...CLINTON
348 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40
MAX/MIN TEMP          65           40           55
MIN/MAX RH %          23           80           52
20FT WND-AM(MPH)      S 19-23 G41               N 5-9
20FT WND-PM(MPH)      S 24-28 G42  SW 12-16 G26 NE 6-10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    6540                      1890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     N  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     228900                    13230
VENT RATE (M/S-M)     35874                     2304
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          5            6            5
STABILITY             STBL         STBL         VRY STBL

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-162230-
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...
MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...
ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO
348 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
MAX/MIN TEMP          68           34           50
MIN/MAX RH %          19           81           41
20FT WND-AM(MPH)      S 21-25 G44               N 8-12
20FT WND-PM(MPH)      S 26-30 G45  W 9-13 G23   NE 5-9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    7431                      2399
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 41                     N  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     267516                    9596
VENT RATE (M/S-M)     43035                     1462
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          6            6            5
STABILITY             STBL         STBL         VRY STBL

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.

$$

MOZ031>033-039-040-045-046-162230-
CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-SALINE-HOWARD-PETTIS-COOPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...
MOBERLY...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE
348 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30
MAX/MIN TEMP          64           41           56
MIN/MAX RH %          23           80           51
20FT WND-AM(MPH)      S 18-22 G37               NW 3-7
20FT WND-PM(MPH)      S 23-27 G39  S 13-17 G26  N 4-8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    6617                      2299
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      N  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     211744                    9196
VENT RATE (M/S-M)     32272                     1402
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          5            5            4
STABILITY             STBL         STBL         VRY STBL

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-162230-
MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-
MACON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...
DOWNING...TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...
CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA
348 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
MAX/MIN TEMP          64           36           52
MIN/MAX RH %          25           83           51
20FT WND-AM(MPH)      S 19-23 G40               N 6-10
20FT WND-PM(MPH)      S 25-29 G44  SW 13-17 G28 N 5-9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    7252                      2695
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 43                     N  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     268324                    16170
VENT RATE (M/S-M)     41990                     2463
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          5            5            5
STABILITY             STBL         STBL         VRY STBL

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$








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