Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 290757
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
357 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

...Scattered showers and an isolated storm this afternoon and evening...

.DISCUSSION...
The Great Lakes region will be under the influence of an upper low
the next few days. What this means is we will see scattered showers
develop each afternoon before fading during the evening. Enough
instability will be present today for a few thunderstorms as well
this afternoon and evening. Highs today will reach the 70s once again
before cooling into the 60s for Tuesday and Wednesday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-292015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
357 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1100 until 1400, then scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 16
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    9100-9600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to west
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....4000-4200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1700-2200 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 5500-6000 ft AGL decreasing to
                    2400-2900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1700 (excellent) decreasing to 800 (excellent)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 5 percent
                    wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6800-7300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1800 (excellent) increasing to 2300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-292015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
357 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1100 until 1400, then scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......11600-12100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph increasing to west
                    around 35 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....4300-4600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL decreasing to 3100-3600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1900 (excellent) decreasing to 900 (excellent)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2100-2200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-292015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
357 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1100 until 1400, then scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2700-3200 ft AGL increasing
                    to 5800-6300 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Mixing height....... inland, 9600-10100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....3100-3300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1400-1900 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4300-4800 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1400-1900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7600-8100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1900 (excellent) increasing to 2500 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-292015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
357 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1100 until 1400, then scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 29
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......11800-12300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph increasing to west
                    around 35 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....4300-4700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL decreasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2000 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2200-2500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-292015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
357 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1100 until 1400, then scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......11400-11900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to west
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....3700-3800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL decreasing to 1000-1500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8000-8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2200-2500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the
evening. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 11 to
16 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening.
Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs
around 70.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around
50.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.



$$



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