Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 290904
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
504 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS WILL SLOWLY PUSH
EASTWARD...REACHING THE COAST LATE FRIDAY AND EITHER STALLING
ALONG THE COAST OR JUST OFFSHORE THIS WEEKEND. SOME LOCATIONS
MAY SEE A GOOD DOSE OF RAINFALL FROM THE CONVECTION ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FINALLY
BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT AND WILL PERSIST INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-300115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
504 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          85           69           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  4         S  5         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  7         S  4         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.13         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2
INVERSION             77/1000      1800         78/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        63           96           65
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4480                      3960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 22
VENTILATION RATE      80640                     87120
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      49 GEN GOOD  36 FAIR
ADI LATE              67 GOOD      4 VERY POOR  68 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-300115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...
WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
504 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          85           67           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  4        S  4         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  7         S  3         S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.11         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             75/1000      1800         76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        62           97           56
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4040                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     S 20
VENTILATION RATE      64640                     106000
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      37 FAIR      18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              51 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  78 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-300115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
504 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          86           69           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  5         S  6         SW  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  9         S  4         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.09         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             76/1000      1800         78/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        62           94           54
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4740                      4660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 20
VENTILATION RATE      85320                     93200
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  47 GEN GOOD  25 FAIR
ADI LATE              64 GOOD      4 VERY POOR  79 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-300115-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE
504 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          87           66           85
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  5         S  5         SW  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  8         S  3         SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.07         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
INVERSION             75/1000      1800         75/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        56           95           48
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4600                      5230
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 14
VENTILATION RATE      59800                     73220
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      36 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  59 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-300115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON
504 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          86           64           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  5         S  5         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  8         S  3         SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.08         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
INVERSION             74/1000      1800         74/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        56           96           45
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4040                      5640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 14
VENTILATION RATE      48480                     78960
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      28 FAIR      19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

DCH



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