Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 232027
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
427 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid conditions will continue through Saturday as
Bermuda High offshore maintains southwesterly winds. An approaching
cold front from the west will increase the potential for showers
and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. The front will eventually
move offshore early Monday with drier weather expected to develop
Tuesday through Friday.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-241230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
427 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           80           70
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            5            5
Min/Max Temp          77           91           75           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 13 G25    SW 13 G26    SW 10 G25    W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13 G22    SW 13 G26    SW  8        W  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.20         0.61         0.40
Precip duration                    1            9            10
Inversion             2000         78/0600      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        88           58           98           63
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5490                      3950
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW  8
Ventilation rate                   98820                     31600
ADI early             48 Gen good  52 Gen good  37 Fair      22 Fair
ADI late              24 Fair      57 Gen good  8 poor       24 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-241230-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
427 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           70           70
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          76           91           74           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 12 G21     SW 12 G22    SW  6        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12        SW 11 G22    SW  5        NW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.30         0.62         0.27
Precip duration                    1            8            7
Inversion             2000         77/0600      2000         78/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        88           56           99           57
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5430                      4480
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W  7
Ventilation rate                   92310                     31360
ADI early             45 Gen good  51 Gen good  24 Fair      17 Gen poor
ADI late              16 Gen poor  55 Gen good  4 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            1            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-241230-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
427 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           60           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          76           91           73           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 12 G21     SW 12 G22    SW  6        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13        SW 10 G21    SW  4        N  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.29         0.45         0.13
Precip duration                    1            6            2
Inversion             2000         77/0600      2000         78/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        87           56           97           49
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5330                      4660
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     NW  5
Ventilation rate                   85280                     23300
ADI early             42 Gen good  46 Gen good  22 Fair      12 poor
ADI late              14 Gen poor  53 Gen good  3 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-241230-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
427 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           70           70
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          76           92           75           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 13 G25     SW 12 G24    SW  9 G25    W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G20    SW 13 G25    SW  7        W  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.22         0.68         0.40
Precip duration                    1            8            9
Inversion             2000         78/0600      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        87           54           98           62
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5430                      4140
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W  7
Ventilation rate                   92310                     28980
ADI early             45 Gen good  56 Gen good  31 Fair      19 Gen poor
ADI late              20 Gen poor  58 Gen good  7 poor       21 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-241230-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
427 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           70           70
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          76           92           74           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 12 G21     SW 12 G22    SW  7        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        SW 12 G22    SW  5        NW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.31         0.62         0.26
Precip duration                    1            8            7
Inversion             2000         77/0600      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        88           53           97           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5360                      4450
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W  6
Ventilation rate                   91120                     26700
ADI early             45 Gen good  52 Gen good  30 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              14 Gen poor  56 Gen good  4 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            4            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-241230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
427 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            60           60           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          76           91           73           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 12 G21     SW 12 G22    SW  6        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13        SW 10 G21    SW  3        N  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.30         0.45         0.11
Precip duration                    1            7            2
Inversion             2000         77/0600      2000         77/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        87           55           97           48
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5330                      4750
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     N  6
Ventilation rate                   74620                     28500
ADI early             44 Gen good  42 Gen good  25 Fair      14 Gen poor
ADI late              13 Gen poor  48 Gen good  2 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            6            8
Max LVORI late        4            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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