Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
308 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Mild air will surge into the region Monday and Tuesday ahead of
a low pressure system that will approach from the west. This
system will bring moderate rain Wednesday and Wednesday night.
High pressure will build in Thursday and then weaken on Friday
as a cold front slowly approaches from the west.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...High within 15 to 20 miles of the
coast, low to moderate elsewhere.

NCZ105>110-190015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
308 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           46           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      W  4         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         W  4         SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             58/1100      1800         58/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        60           99           48
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2000                      2060
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     W  8
Ventilation rate      12000                     16480
ADI early             5 Very poor  4 Very poor  15 Gen poor
ADI late              21 Fair      4 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       8            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Colder. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-190015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
308 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           45           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         W  4         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         W  4         SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             57/1100      1800         56/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           100          47
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2100                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     W  8
Ventilation rate      25200                     14400
ADI early             6 Very poor  7 poor       12 poor
ADI late              20 Gen poor  4 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Colder. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-190015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
308 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0
Precip type           Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           49           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         W  6         W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        W  6         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             61/1100      1800         60/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        69           100          52
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1670                      1670
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      W  9
Ventilation rate      13360                     15030
ADI early             6 Very poor  6 Very poor  12 poor
ADI late              14 Gen poor  5 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ039-190015-
Williamsburg-
Including the city of Kingstree
308 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           0
Precip type           Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           49           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        W  7         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         W  6         W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             60/1100      1800         59/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        71           100          47
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1560                      1630
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      W  9
Ventilation rate      10920                     14670
ADI early             7 poor       7 poor       11 poor
ADI late              13 Gen poor  6 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Cooler. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-059-190015-
Florence-Marion-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Loris, Green Sea,
and Aynor
308 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           48           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        SW  6        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         W  5         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             58/1100      1800         58/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        65           100          46
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1890                      1680
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      W  7
Ventilation rate      11340                     11760
ADI early             8 poor       10 poor      10 poor
ADI late              23 Fair      5 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum
RH 66 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Colder. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-190015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
308 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           46           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         SW  5        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             57/1100      1800         56/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           98           46
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2000                      1610
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      W  8
Ventilation rate      16000                     12880
ADI early             6 Very poor  9 poor       9 poor
ADI late              21 Fair      4 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            5            7
Max LVORI late        3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of rain 80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Colder. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

40


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