Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 301013
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
613 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FOR ONE DAY OF DRY WEATHER...
BEFORE A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPS SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...BRINGING COLD AND BLUSTERY
CONDITIONS WITH PRECIPITATION CHANGING FROM RAIN TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500
FEET. SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY FOLLOW FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHTS...WITH DRY WEATHER RETURNING LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-104-106>109-111-112-
114-311015-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-
WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
BOONEVILLE
613 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
VENT RATE...........POOR (12700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS LATE AT
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (63200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.19 INCHES.

$$

KYZ086>088-110-113-115>120-311015-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
613 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.
VENT RATE...........POOR (14100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (47600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.19 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS EARLY...THEN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS AROUND 30. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...MILDER. MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FROST IN THE MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
GEOGERIAN





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