Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS53 KLMK 040750
FWFLMK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
350 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY...BRINGING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY AND
UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO MILDER CONDITIONS FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.


INZ076-083-084-089-042115-
ORANGE-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY
350 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 /250 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      60 (-3)      41 (-8)      60
RH % (24H TREND)      56 (-2)      88 (+3)      56
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW  6 G17                 NW  7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   NW  9 G24    NW  7 G17    NW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.00         0.01
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6491                      6099
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 29                     N 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     177570                    104941
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  38 FAIR      81 GOOD
ADI LATE              93 GOOD      9 POOR       60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-042115-
HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...HODGENVILLE...
MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
350 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 /250 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      64 (-1)      41 (-7)      58
RH % (24H TREND)      53 (-1)      89 (+2)      50
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW  7 G19                 NW  7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W 10 G21     NW  7        NW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.02         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7622                      6368
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     204028                    134762
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             96 GOOD      37 FAIR      78 GOOD
ADI LATE              95 GOOD      5 VERY POOR  75 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-042115-
WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-HARRISON-FLOYD-CLARK-MEADE-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-SPENCER-NELSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...BRANDENBURG...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...
NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN
350 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (-1)      41 (-7)      59
RH % (24H TREND)      57 (-3)      88 (+1)      57
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW  7 G18                 NW  7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W  9 G19     NW  8        NW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.04         0.03
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7726                      6015
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      N 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     178612                    91749
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 GOOD
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             88 GOOD      37 FAIR      56 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              81 GOOD      21 FAIR      56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
80. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-042115-
FRANKLIN-SCOTT-HARRISON-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-
NICHOLAS-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER
350 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      63 (0)       40 (-9)      57
RH % (24H TREND)      59 (-2)      89 (0)       64
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW  7 G19                 NW  6
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W  9 G20     NW  8        NW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.05         0.06
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7611                      5233
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     158039                    87958
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 GOOD
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             82 GOOD      36 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              84 GOOD      29 FAIR      52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-042115-
MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-MONROE-
METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...
RICHMOND...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
350 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 /250 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      64 (0)       40 (-8)      55
RH % (24H TREND)      55 (-5)      90 (0)       53
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW  6 G18                 NW  7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W  9 G19     NW  7        NW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.06         0.03
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7813                      6063
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     173670                    125391
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             80 GOOD      27 FAIR      57 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              90 GOOD      15 GEN POOR  57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            2

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

RAS



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