Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS53 KLMK 020736
FWFLMK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
336 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.DISCUSSION...WE`LL HAVE ONE MORE VERY WARM DAY TODAY AS PARTIAL
SUNSHINE AND SOUTHERLY BREEZES BRING TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
80S THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BRING WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THIS
FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COOLER AIR...WITH TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY
MORNING DROPPING INTO THE 30S IN MANY PLACES.

INZ076-083-084-089-022115-
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY
336 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014 /236 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      87 (+3)      66 (+5)      72
RH % (24H TREND)      38 (+3)      94 (+6)      56
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S 3-7                     SW 8-12 G27
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S 5-9 G17    S 5-9        W 9-13 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.51         0.26
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5038                      2406
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     80608                     55338
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  N/A          SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            4            3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             52 GEN GOOD  19 GEN POOR  53 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              64 GOOD      34 FAIR      66 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            2

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ023>034-038-045-053-022115-
WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-
HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-
BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-
SPENCER KY-NELSON KY-LARUE KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...
HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...
ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...
LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...
TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE
336 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014 /236 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      88 (+5)      64 (+4)      75
RH % (24H TREND)      35 (0)       97 (+10)     61
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S 3-7                     SW 8-12 G27
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S 4-8        S 4-8        W 9-13 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.33         0.27
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5038                      2406
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     75570                     62556
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   MOD UNSTBL   N/A          SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   2            4            3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             51 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      57 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              73 GOOD      26 FAIR      56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-054>057-066-067-022115-
FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-
JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-
CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...
LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...LIBERTY...STANFORD
336 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      87 (+6)      62 (+4)      74
RH % (24H TREND)      34 (-8)      99 (+6)      67
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   S 9-13 G28
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S 4-8        SE 3-7       SW 9-13 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.35
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5038                      2406
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     65494                     74586
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   MOD UNSTBL   N/A          SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   1            4            3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             46 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       62 GOOD
ADI LATE              58 GEN GOOD  16 GEN POOR  58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ061>063-070>074-022115-
BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...
MUNFORDVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...
SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
236 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           90           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      89 (+3)      65 (+4)      76
RH % (24H TREND)      35 (+5)      99 (+15)     54
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S 3-7                     SW 8-12 G25
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S 5-9 G17    S 3-7        W 8-12 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.42         0.27
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5038                      2406
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     75570                     60150
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   MOD UNSTBL   N/A          SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   2            4            3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             54 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      58 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              77 GOOD      26 FAIR      55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            2

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ064-065-075>078-081-082-022115-
GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
336 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014 /236 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      88 (+4)      64 (+5)      76
RH % (24H TREND)      35 (+6)      100 (+10)    65
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   SW 7-11 G26
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S 3-7        LGT/VAR      SW 8-12 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.40
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5038                      2406
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     65494                     60150
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   MOD UNSTBL   N/A          SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   1            4            3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             46 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              65 GOOD      17 GEN POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$







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