Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 202001
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather with a gradual warming trend can be expected
through the first half of the week with high pressure remaining in
control.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212115-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+5)   53-58 (+6)   35-40        46-51
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (0)    48-53 (+17)  94-99        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  6 G21                  N  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G21    SW  5 G15    LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     N 12
Dispersion                         28 Fair                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G21                  N  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    SW  6 G15    N  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Light
winds becoming west less than 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the lower 30s to mid 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower
30s to mid 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212115-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (+5)   51-56 (+3)   35-40        45-50
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+9)   48-53 (+19)  94-99        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G21                  NW  6
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  6 G17     SW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      N  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         rain         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 PM
Precip end                                      7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 16                      NW 13
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G21                  NW  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G17     SW 11 G22    W  5         N  6

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. Light winds becoming southeast less than 10 mph after
midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in
the 30s to 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
30s to mid 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-212115-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+7)   51-56 (+3)   35-40        46-51
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+4)   54-59 (+29)  95-100       50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G28                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G24     S 10 G26     SW  5 G19    LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         rain         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 PM
Precip end                                      7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      N 14
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 14 G28                  N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G24     S 12 G26     SW  7 G19    N  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. East
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-212115-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (+8)   54-59 (+1)   37-42        50-55
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-2)   59-64 (+31)  95-100       52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G22                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G18    S  8 G22     LGT/VAR      N  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      1400
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      N 15
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G22                  N  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G18    S 11 G22     LGT/VAR      N  8

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Light
winds becoming northwest less than 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-212115-
Nantahala National Forest-
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+9)   53-58 (-1)   37-42        53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   63-68 (+38)  95-100       50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G19                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G16    S  7 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         showers      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION                    1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM
PRECIP END                         7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1900                      1500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      N 10
DISPERSION                         22 Fair                   14 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          5                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    S  9 G20     LGT/VAR      NW  6

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Light
winds becoming northwest less than 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212115-
East Tennessee District East-
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (+7)   54-59 (+4)   35-40        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+3)   53-58 (+23)  94-99        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G17                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3300                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     NW 10
Dispersion                         24 Fair                   19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G17                  NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      N  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212115-
East Tennessee District West-
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (+9)   55-60 (+5)   36-41        48-53
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+2)   57-62 (+25)  92-97        50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G18                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      N  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2500                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      N 13
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G18                  N  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      N  6

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 30s to
upper 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-212115-
Cumberland District South-
301 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017 /201 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+10)  56-61 (+3)   37-42        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+5)   60-65 (+33)  93-98        48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  6 G18                  N  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     LGT/VAR      N  8 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2600                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 16                      N 14
Dispersion                         37 Fair                   25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G18                  N  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         S  9 G18     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. North
winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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