Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 041949
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RAINFALL WILL INCREASE IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. AS COLDER
TEMPERATURES MOVE INTO THE REGION...THE RAINFALL WILL TRANSITION TO
A WINTRY MIX OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE
CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW ON THURSDAY. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE
SEEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE VALLEY...WITH A FEW INCHES POSSIBLE
ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-18)  27-32 (-23)  7-12         31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  75-80 (+3)   95-100       40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.33         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N/A
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G18                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    N  9 G16     N  8         W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-14)  33-38 (-30)  9-14         30-35
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    68-73 (+8)   95-100       36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G18     NW  8        N  7 G15     W  6
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.42         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N/A
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    0 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G18                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G23     NW 10 G18    N  9 G19     W  7 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-052100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-15)  35-40 (-29)  12-17        31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  68-73 (+8)   95-100       42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G26     N  9 G16     NE  8 G17    NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.30         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      N/A
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    0 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G20                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G32     N 11 G20     NE 10 G21    NW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-052100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-16)  36-41 (-25)  16-21        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   75-80 (+5)   95-100       44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     N 10 G17     N  8 G18     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SLEET/RAIN   NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.22         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      N/A
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   0 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     N 12 G22     N 11 G23     NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-052100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-10)  41-46 (-21)  17-22        37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   65-70 (-4)   95-100       45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G17    N  9         N  7 G16     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SLEET/RAIN   NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.23         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      N/A
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI                          5                         8
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G19                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G21    N 11 G20     N  9 G20     NW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-14)  33-38 (-30)  10-15        32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   71-76 (+9)   92-97        42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         N  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.35         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N/A
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G17                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     N  9 G16     NE  6        W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-20)  29-34 (-31)  11-16        33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  73-78 (+5)   91-96        37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N  8         NE  7        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.23         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      N/A
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G20                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N 10 G18     NE  9 G16    LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
249 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-23)  30-35 (-32)  16-21        36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   65-70 (-7)   86-91        35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         N 10 G19     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.17         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      N/A
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G21                  N  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     N 13 G24     N 11 G21     LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$



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