Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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605
FNUS54 KMRX 250839
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE AREA THIS MORNING, BRINGING IN A MUCH
COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. THUS, MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (-21)  22-27 (-24)  44-49
RH % (24h trend)      35-40 (-6)   69-74 (-23)  22-27
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 12 G31                  W  6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G33     W 12 G28     LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            7 PM
Precip amount         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4500                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   W 21                      W  8
Dispersion            45 Gen good               22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 15 G31                  W  7 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 19 G33     W 15 G28     SW  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (-16)  21-26 (-26)  44-49
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (-7)   65-70 (-23)  19-24
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G34                  NW  7 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 17 G37     NW 16 G38    W  5
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            7 PM
Precip amount         0.11         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)   W 23                      W 10
Dispersion            35 Fair                   27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G34                  NW  9 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 21 G37     NW 20 G38    W  6

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-260945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-19)  21-26 (-24)  46-51
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (-7)   62-67 (-29)  17-22
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 14 G36                  NW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 16 G37     NW 12 G31    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            7 PM
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 24                      W  7
Dispersion            49 Gen good               18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 18 G36                  NW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 20 G37     NW 16 G31    W  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s to upper 30s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 50s
to upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 30s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower
30s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-260945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-21)  24-29 (-24)  50-55
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-9)   65-70 (-25)  15-20
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 12 G29                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 14 G32    NW 10 G24    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            1 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 21                      NW  3
Dispersion            51 Gen good               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G29                  N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 18 G32    NW 13 G24    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
to upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s to
mid 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-260945-
Nantahala National Forest-
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-17)  23-28 (-25)  51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  72-77 (-18)  15-20
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G31                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G34    NW 11 G29    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           showers      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W  7
DISPERSION            62 Good                   20 Gen poor
MAX LVORI             3                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G31                  N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 20 G34    NW 15 G29    W  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260945-
East Tennessee District East-
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (-22)  24-29 (-23)  47-52
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (-2)   68-73 (-24)  21-26
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G32                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 16 G34     W 11 G27     LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            7 PM
Precip amount         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4100                      4400
Transport wnd (mph)   W 22                      SW  6
Dispersion            51 Gen good               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 17 G32                  W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 20 G34     W 13 G27     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260945-
East Tennessee District West-
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-24)  24-29 (-21)  49-54
RH % (24h trend)      35-40 (-7)   68-73 (-21)  19-24
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G31                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 14 G31     NW  9 G23    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            7 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 21                      S  3
Dispersion            61 Good                   9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G31                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 17 G31     NW 11 G23    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-260945-
Cumberland District South-
339 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 /239 AM CST Sat Feb 25 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-24)  25-30 (-20)  51-56
RH % (24h trend)      33-38 (-12)  70-75 (-17)  18-23
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G29                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 13 G29    NW  8 G22    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            10 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)   W 20                      E  5
Dispersion            56 Gen good               8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G29                  NE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 16 G29    NW 10 G22    SE  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Warmer. Highs in the
mid to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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