Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 271445 AAA
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...UPDATED
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL PRODUCE
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND...WITH A POTENTIAL
FOR STORMS AT TIMES FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY,
WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281545-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (0)    60-65 (+2)   75-80
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+7)   95-100 (+9)  58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G15                 SW  7 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G24
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           70
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   12 AM        Continuing
Precip amount         0.33         0.11         0.30
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)   W 20                      SW 15
Dispersion            70 Good                   47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G15                 SW  9 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G22    SW  5        SW 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s
to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
upper 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281545-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+2)   57-62 (+3)   75-80
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+3)   94-99 (+7)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  7 G17                  SW  6 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G19     W  5 G15     W 10 G23
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           70           70
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.18         0.27
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6800                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)   W 21                      SW 14
Dispersion            74 Good                   40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G17                  SW  8 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G19     W  6 G15     W 11 G23

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
upper 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-281545-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (+1)   58-63 (+2)   75-80
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+7)   95-100 (+21) 55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G20                 SW 11 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G20    S  6 G17     SW 12 G31
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           70           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.14         0.22
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      6700
Transport wnd (mph)   W 17                      W 20
Dispersion            45 Gen good               56 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  9 G20                 SW 13 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G20    S  8 G17     SW 15 G31

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 50s
to mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-281545-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (0)    61-66 (+3)   80-85
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+7)   95-100 (+13) 57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     SW  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G20    S  6 G16     SW 10 G23
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.11         0.17
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     SW 15
Dispersion            48 Gen good               44 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7                     SW 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G20    S  7 G16     SW 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West
winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s
to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-281545-
Nantahala National Forest-
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    61-66 (+8)   80-85
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   95-100 (+4)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  7 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    SW  6 G18    SW  9 G22
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
PRECIP END            Continuing   4 AM         Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.14         0.14
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 14
DISPERSION            53 Gen good               53 Gen good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  7 G18    SW 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West
winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s
to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281545-
East Tennessee District East-
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+1)   60-65 (+3)   78-83
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (+5)   95-100 (+6)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G16                 SW  7 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G26
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           70           70
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.27         0.12         0.23
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5300                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   W 18                      SW 16
Dispersion            62 Good                   59 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G16                 SW  9 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G21    SW  5        SW 12 G26

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281545-
East Tennessee District West-
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (-1)   62-67 (+2)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+9)   95-100 (+11) 56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G15                 SW  8 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G25
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.36         0.06         0.20
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     SW 17
Dispersion            46 Gen good               49 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G15                 SW 10 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G21    SW  5        SW 12 G25

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s
to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-281545-
Cumberland District South-
1045 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017 /945 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      77-82 (-1)   64-69 (+3)   81-86
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+9)   95-100 (+11) 55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     SW  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G18     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G24
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.30         0.09         0.16
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     SW 17
Dispersion            48 Gen good               48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7                     SW 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G18     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G24

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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