Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 210655
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures and high humidity will continue
across the Tennessee Valley and Southern Appalachians into the
weekend. The possibilty of precipitation will increase this
weekend...with the best chances on Sunday.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220800-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      87-92 (+1)   67-72 (+4)   86-91
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (0)    95-100 (+1)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.03         0.21
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      SW 12
Dispersion            24 Fair                   39 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18

Remarks...A quick inch or more of rain and brief gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220800-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      84-89 (+1)   66-71 (+5)   83-88
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (-7)   93-98 (+1)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.01         0.33
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6300                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6                     W  8
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  8

Remarks...A quick inch or more of rain and brief gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to lower 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-220800-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      84-89 (+2)   65-70 (+4)   80-85
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-6)   95-100 (+8)  54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  5 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.01         0.25
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     W  8
Dispersion            12 Poor                   21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7 G16

Remarks...A quick inch or more of rain and brief gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 60s
to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-220800-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      88-93 (+2)   67-72 (+4)   84-89
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-3)   95-100 (+7)  54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.01         0.16
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  3                     W  9
Dispersion            11 Poor                   31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16

Remarks...A quick inch or more of rain and brief gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-220800-
Nantahala National Forest-
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   66-71 (+4)   83-88
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   95-100 (+7)  56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
PRECIP END            Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.16
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      W  8
DISPERSION            12 Poor                   29 Fair
MAX LVORI             5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8

Remarks...A quick inch or more of rain and brief gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220800-
East Tennessee District East-
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      90-95 (+3)   68-73 (+3)   88-93
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-5)   93-98 (0)    50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.25
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5300                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      W 10
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               37 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18

Remarks...A quick inch or more of rain and brief gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220800-
East Tennessee District West-
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      90-95 (+3)   69-74 (+2)   88-93
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-4)   93-98 (+1)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.13
LAL                   2            2            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   W  3                      SW 10
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16

Remarks...A quick inch or more of rain and brief gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows near 70.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-220800-
Cumberland District South-
255 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017 /155 AM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      90-95 (+2)   71-76 (+3)   88-93
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (-7)   90-95 (-1)   52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.10
LAL                   2            2            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  1                     SW  9
Dispersion            6 Very poor               40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19

Remarks...A quick inch or more of rain and brief gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph early in
the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.

$$



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