Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 210706
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...
WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY AS HIGH TEMPERATURES REACH THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   59-64 (+1)   80-85
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  88-93 (-4)   41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.12         0.14
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 18
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   66 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   57-62 (+1)   78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-15)  89-94 (-3)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.09         0.19
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 13
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   38 FAIR

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-220815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   57-62 (+1)   77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-15)  88-93 (-7)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.10         0.16
LAL                   4            3            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 16
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   39 FAIR

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-220815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   60-65 (+1)   80-85
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   87-92 (-8)   44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.05         0.13
LAL                   4            3            4
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 18
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-220815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   58-63 (+1)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  89-94 (-8)   45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.06         0.16
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 15
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   59-64 (+1)   81-86
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   91-96 (-5)   41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.03         0.13
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 15
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   62-67 (+1)   81-86
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   86-91 (-9)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.13
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 24
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               83 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013 /206 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   61-66 (-1)   81-86
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   90-95 (-3)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  7 G16
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.13
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 24
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$









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