Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 290733
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER AND WARM
TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL
APPROACH THURSDAY, WITH PROBABILITIES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASING FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG
WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND DOWNWIND FROM THE MOUNTAINS THURSDAY
NIGHT. RAIN WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AND THEN TAPER OF FRIDAY EVENING. A
WARM AND DRY WEEKEND WILL FOLLOW.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300845-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+6)   48-53 (+3)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-15)  91-96 (-1)   44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 14 G32
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    12 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   E  5                      S 21
Dispersion            15 Gen poor               68 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S 17 G32

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300845-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (+6)   48-53 (+5)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-14)  88-93 (-1)   50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G27
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 12 G36
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    12 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6700                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   S  3                      S 21
Dispersion            12 Poor                   51 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 14 G27
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SE 15 G36

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy, cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds
5 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s
to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-300845-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (+3)   50-55 (+6)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-16)  83-88 (-1)   45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 13 G33
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S 15 G43
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    12 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  5                     S 28
Dispersion            11 Poor                   83 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 17 G33
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7        SE  5        S 19 G43

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Windy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the 40s to 50s. South winds 5 to 35 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s
to mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 50. Highs
in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-300845-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+3)   52-57 (+6)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-17)  83-88 (-3)   45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SE 14 G37
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    12 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  5                     S 26
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               102 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         E  5         SE 18 G37

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-300845-
Nantahala National Forest-
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   50-55 (+6)   68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-18)  92-97 (+5)   51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G25
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SE 11 G30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM
PRECIP END                                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 23
DISPERSION            22 Fair                   79 Good
MAX LVORI             5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SE 14 G30

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300845-
East Tennessee District East-
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (+4)   49-54 (+3)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-12)  90-95 (+1)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 12 G30
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    4 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)   E  6                      S 20
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               66 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE 16 G30

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s
to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300845-
East Tennessee District West-
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+4)   52-57 (+5)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (-12)  87-92 (-2)   44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G33
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    12 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   E  6                      S 25
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               101 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 17 G33

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-300845-
Cumberland District South-
333 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017 /233 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (+2)   54-59 (+7)   75-80
RH % (24h trend)      38-43 (-13)  86-91 (-2)   40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 15 G35
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    8 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   E  3                      S 26
Dispersion            8 Poor                    111 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  5                     S 12 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 19 G35

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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