Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 152029
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through on Tuesday ushering in a reinforcing
shot of cold air as well as a chance for for a couple of inches of
snowfall accumulation totals across the region. By Tuesday
afternoon...temperatures will be below freezing...with near single
digit low temperatures expected Tuesday night and Wednesday night.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162130-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      21-26 (+9)   27-32 (-9)   6-11         16-21
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+9)   71-76 (+30)  93-98        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      N  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G15    W  5         NW  6 G15    NW 10 G23
Precip type           snow         snow         snow         snow
Chance precip (%)     30           70           40           0
Precip duration       1            3            1
Precip begin          1 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.13         0.07         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3100                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1100                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      NW 14
Dispersion                         9 Poor                    28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6                      N 11 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G15    W  7         NW  8 G15    NW 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 6 to 12. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 15 to 21. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of snow. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162130-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      20-25 (+11)  30-35 (-2)   6-11         14-19
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+3)   64-69 (+23)  95-100       53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      NW 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         NW  7 G18    NW 13 G30
Precip type           NONE         snow         snow         snow
Chance precip (%)     0            60           50           10
Precip duration                    2            1            1
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.09         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1000                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      NW 18
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6                      NW 13 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  9 G18    NW 16 G30

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows
5 to 13. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 15 to 21. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Highs in the 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-162130-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      20-25 (+10)  27-32 (-7)   4-9          14-19
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-6)   68-73 (+24)  93-98        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5 G15                  N  9 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G20    W  6         NW  8 G18    N 11 G27
Precip type           NONE         snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            60           50           0
Precip duration                    2            1
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.09         0.06         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                800                       1400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      N 16
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G15                  N 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G20    W  8         NW 10 G18    N 14 G27

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 2 to 12. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 16 to 21. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of snow. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-162130-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      21-26 (+9)   29-34 (-9)   5-10         18-23
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (-5)   63-68 (+21)  90-95        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   N 12 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  8 G19    N 13 G30
Precip type           NONE         snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            60           40           0
Precip duration                    2            1
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3300                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1200                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      N 20
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6                      N 15 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        NW  7        NW 10 G19    N 17 G30

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 7 to 13. North winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 18. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-162130-
Nantahala National Forest-
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+10)  33-38 (-6)   6-11         20-25
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  58-63 (+14)  89-94        41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N 11 G28
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  7 G17    N 14 G29
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         snow         snow         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           0
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.05         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1800                      1600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     N 20
DISPERSION                         15 Gen poor               25 Fair
MAX LVORI                          4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N 15 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         NW  9 G17    N 17 G29

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 8 to 13. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 15 to 21. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162130-
East Tennessee District East-
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      21-26 (+10)  29-34 (-9)   8-13         18-23
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (0)    69-74 (+29)  88-93        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         NW  7        NW  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         snow         snow         snow
Chance precip (%)     0            60           40           0
Precip duration                    2            1
Precip begin                       Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.06         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2600                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1200                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      NW 13
Dispersion                         9 Poor                    28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      N 10 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  9        NW 12 G21

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 7 to 14. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 15 to 20. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Highs in the 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of snow. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162130-
East Tennessee District West-
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      21-26 (+7)   23-28 (-16)  6-11         19-24
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+2)   67-72 (+27)  82-87        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5                     N  8 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  7 G16    NW  9 G21
Precip type           snow         snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           60           40           0
Precip duration       1            3            1
Precip begin          10 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.12         0.03         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2700                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1400                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     N 14
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6                     N 10 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        NW  7        NW  9 G16    NW 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 7 to 13. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 16 to 21. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Highs in the 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-162130-
Cumberland District South-
329 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018 /229 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2018/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      21-26 (+6)   24-29 (-16)  6-11         21-26
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+2)   62-67 (+22)  79-84        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5                     N 11 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  6 G16    NW  9 G21    N 11 G25
Precip type           snow         snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           60           30           0
Precip duration       1            2            1
Precip begin          4 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.08         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2600                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1500                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     N 18
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7                     N 14 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         NW  8 G16    NW 11 G21    N 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 9 to 16. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 17 to 22. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 30. Highs
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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