Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FNUS54 KOHX 202057
FWFOHX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Middle Tennessee
National Weather Service Nashville TN
257 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...

An unsettled weather pattern, with seasonable warm temperatures
through at least the end of the work week, is expected for the
mid state over the next seven days. An upper level low pressure
system expected to develop across the gulf coastal region will
usher in wrap around moisture on Tuesday, providing for mainly
numerous light showers by the afternoon hours. Minimum afternoon
relative humidity values on Tuesday will range from the 60s across
Cumberland District North to upper 70s across southwestern portions
of Highland Rim District South. Numerous light showers may be
possible Tuesday night also, as the upper level low continues to
push eastward. Mid state will between weather systems Wednesday
into Thursday. Minimum afternoon relative humidity values on
Wednesday will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s. A frontal system
will push across the mid state on Friday, potentially bringing with
it breezy conditions, and by Friday evening, scattered to numerous
moderate showers and scattered thunderstorms, with light rainfall
continuing across the eastern half of the mid state after midnight.
The mid state should remain dry with temperatures falling to near
seasonal values over the weekend with another approaching frontal
system bringing with it the potential of mainly scattered light
showers on Monday.

TNZ501-211200-
Highland Rim District - North-
Including the Counties of Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Houston,
Humphreys, Montgomery, Robertson, Rutherford, Stewart, Sumner,
Williamson, and Wilson
257 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24H Trend)      56 (+10)     67 (-7)      53           72
RH % (24H Trend)      81 (-19)     67 (+26)     100          62
AM 20FT Wnd (MPH)                  SE 6-10                   LGT/VAR
PM 20FT Wnd (MPH)     SE 6-10      SE 6-10      SE 4-8       LGT/VAR
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           40           10
Precip Type           NONE         showers      showers      showers
Precip Amount (IN)    0.00         0.10         0.05         0.00
Precip Dur (HR)                    5            2            1
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt (M-MSL)                 800                       1200
Mixing Hgt (FT-MSL)                2600                      3900
Transport Wnd (M/S)                S  9                      S  3
Transport Wnd (MPH)                S 21                      S  7
Dispersion Index      1            20           2            10
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Haines Index          2            2            2            2
Maximum LVORI         0            0            8            10
RH Recovery           Moderate                  Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Much cooler. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 37 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ502-211200-
Highland Rim District - South-
Including the Counties of Bedford, Giles, Hardin, Hickman, Lawrence,
Lewis, Lincoln, Marshall, Maury, Moore, Perry, and Wayne
257 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24H Trend)      56 (+10)     65 (-9)      54           72
RH % (24H Trend)      85 (-14)     73 (+34)     100          61
AM 20FT Wnd (MPH)                  SE 6-10                   LGT/VAR
PM 20FT Wnd (MPH)     SE 4-8       SE 6-10      SE 4-8       LGT/VAR
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           30           20
Precip Type           NONE         tstms        showers      showers
Precip Amount (IN)    0.00         0.17         0.08         0.00
Precip Dur (HR)                    9            2            1
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt (M-MSL)                 800                       1300
Mixing Hgt (FT-MSL)                2500                      4200
Transport Wnd (M/S)                S  7                      SE  4
Transport Wnd (MPH)                S 16                      SE  8
Dispersion Index      2            18           4            13
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Haines Index          2            2            2            2
Maximum LVORI         0            0            8            10
RH Recovery           Moderate                  Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds up to 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Much cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Minimum RH 37 percent. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ400-211200-
Cumberland District - North-
Including the Counties of Cannon, Clay, Cumberland, DeKalb,
Fentress, Jackson, Macon, Overton, Pickett, Putnam, Smith,
Trousdale, Warren, and White
257 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24H Trend)      54 (+13)     67 (-5)      53           70
RH % (24H Trend)      76 (-23)     59 (+21)     98           62
AM 20FT Wnd (MPH)                  S 7-11                    LGT/VAR
PM 20FT Wnd (MPH)     S 6-10       S 7-11       SE 4-8       LGT/VAR
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           50           20
Precip Type           NONE         showers      showers      showers
Precip Amount (IN)    0.00         0.07         0.09         0.03
Precip Dur (HR)                    5            2            1
Precip Begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt (M-MSL)                 1100                      1100
Mixing Hgt (FT-MSL)                3600                      3700
Transport Wnd (M/S)                S 10                      S  4
Transport Wnd (MPH)                S 23                      S  9
Dispersion Index      0            29           4            8
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          3            2            2            2
Maximum LVORI         0            0            0            1
RH Recovery           Moderate                  Excellent

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds up to 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Much cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 36 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 5 to
15 mph.

$$
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