Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 182215
FWLLOX

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
315 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

ECC029-191615-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
315 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
Southern Santa Barbara county through Friday night...

...Gusty north winds Saturday becoming northeast Sunday through
Tuesday significant warming and drying...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected over Southern Santa Barbara
County each evening and overnight period through late in the week.
Wind gusts to 30 mph along the coast and to 40 mph in the foothills
are expected through Thursday, with humidities falling into the
teens...bringing elevated to briefly critical fire weather
conditions to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In
 the wake of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential
for  stronger sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds will affect coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds will move farther inland
over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into Friday as
a  stronger trough moves over Northern California. Increasing
northerly  flow along with clearing and warming is expected Saturday
as the  upper trough moves further inland. The winds will transition
to  northeasterly on Saturday night.

From Sunday through at least next Tuesday, there is the potential
for a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very
dry conditions. While the models are currently showing weakening
upper level support, there will be a potential for weak to moderate
Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling into the
single digits and teens. The strongest winds and highest
temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday, but continued warm and
breezy conditions will be possible. This could bring a return of
critical  fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California for much of the coming week.


...Discussion from Monterey...

One last night of poor humidity recovery in the hills but with an
overall cooling trend and increasing westerly winds overnight into
Thursday. Incoming cold front will bring light rain chances into
northern Sonoma county by later Thursday afternoon and evening. Rain
chances will spread southward through the Bay Area overnight but
with only light amounts into the Santa Cruz mountains. Little or no
rainfall is forecast south of  Monterey and over the Los Padres
National Forest. Cooler with  breezy northwest winds on Friday.
Warming and drying trend starts Saturday and lasts into next week
with above normal temperatures.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-191615-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
315 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
Southern Santa Barbara county through Friday night...

...Gusty north winds Saturday becoming northeast Sunday through
Tuesday significant warming and drying...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected over Southern Santa Barbara
County each evening and overnight period through late in the week.
Wind gusts to 30 mph along the coast and to 40 mph in the foothills
are expected through Thursday, with humidities falling into the
teens...bringing elevated to briefly critical fire weather
conditions to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In
 the wake of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential
for  stronger sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds will affect coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds will move farther inland
over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into Friday as
a  stronger trough moves over Northern California. Increasing
northerly  flow along with clearing and warming is expected Saturday
as the  upper trough moves further inland. The winds will transition
to  northeasterly on Saturday night.

From Sunday through at least next Tuesday, there is the potential
for a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very
dry conditions. While the models are currently showing weakening
upper level support, there will be a potential for weak to moderate
Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling into the
single digits and teens. The strongest winds and highest
temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday, but continued warm and
breezy conditions will be possible. This could bring a return of
critical  fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California for much of the coming week.


$$

ECC031-191615-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
315 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
Southern Santa Barbara county through Friday night...

...Gusty north winds Saturday becoming northeast Sunday through
Tuesday significant warming and drying...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected over Southern Santa Barbara
County each evening and overnight period through late in the week.
Wind gusts to 30 mph along the coast and to 40 mph in the foothills
are expected through Thursday, with humidities falling into the
teens...bringing elevated to briefly critical fire weather
conditions to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In
 the wake of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential
for  stronger sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds will affect coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds will move farther inland
over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into Friday as
a  stronger trough moves over Northern California. Increasing
northerly  flow along with clearing and warming is expected Saturday
as the  upper trough moves further inland. The winds will transition
to  northeasterly on Saturday night.

From Sunday through at least next Tuesday, there is the potential
for a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very
dry conditions. While the models are currently showing weakening
upper level support, there will be a potential for weak to moderate
Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling into the
single digits and teens. The strongest winds and highest
temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday, but continued warm and
breezy conditions will be possible. This could bring a return of
critical  fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California for much of the coming week.


$$

ECC024-191615-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
315 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
Southern Santa Barbara county through Friday night...

...Gusty north winds Saturday becoming northeast Sunday through
Tuesday significant warming and drying...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected over Southern Santa Barbara
County each evening and overnight period through late in the week.
Wind gusts to 30 mph along the coast and to 40 mph in the foothills
are expected through Thursday, with humidities falling into the
teens...bringing elevated to briefly critical fire weather
conditions to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In
 the wake of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential
for  stronger sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds will affect coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds will move farther inland
over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into Friday as
a  stronger trough moves over Northern California. Increasing
northerly  flow along with clearing and warming is expected Saturday
as the  upper trough moves further inland. The winds will transition
to  northeasterly on Saturday night.

From Sunday through at least next Tuesday, there is the potential
for a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very
dry conditions. While the models are currently showing weakening
upper level support, there will be a potential for weak to moderate
Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling into the
single digits and teens. The strongest winds and highest
temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday, but continued warm and
breezy conditions will be possible. This could bring a return of
critical  fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California for much of the coming week.


$$

ECC032-191615-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
315 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
Southern Santa Barbara county through Friday night...

...Gusty north winds Saturday becoming northeast Sunday through
Tuesday significant warming and drying...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected over Southern Santa Barbara
County each evening and overnight period through late in the week.
Wind gusts to 30 mph along the coast and to 40 mph in the foothills
are expected through Thursday, with humidities falling into the
teens...bringing elevated to briefly critical fire weather
conditions to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In
 the wake of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential
for  stronger sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds will affect coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds will move farther inland
over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into Friday as
a  stronger trough moves over Northern California. Increasing
northerly  flow along with clearing and warming is expected Saturday
as the  upper trough moves further inland. The winds will transition
to  northeasterly on Saturday night.

From Sunday through at least next Tuesday, there is the potential
for a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very
dry conditions. While the models are currently showing weakening
upper level support, there will be a potential for weak to moderate
Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling into the
single digits and teens. The strongest winds and highest
temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday, but continued warm and
breezy conditions will be possible. This could bring a return of
critical  fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California for much of the coming week.


$$

ECC030-191615-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
315 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
Southern Santa Barbara county through Friday night...

...Gusty north winds Saturday becoming northeast Sunday through
Tuesday significant warming and drying...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected over Southern Santa Barbara
County each evening and overnight period through late in the week.
Wind gusts to 30 mph along the coast and to 40 mph in the foothills
are expected through Thursday, with humidities falling into the
teens...bringing elevated to briefly critical fire weather
conditions to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In
 the wake of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential
for  stronger sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds will affect coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds will move farther inland
over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into Friday as
a  stronger trough moves over Northern California. Increasing
northerly  flow along with clearing and warming is expected Saturday
as the  upper trough moves further inland. The winds will transition
to  northeasterly on Saturday night.

From Sunday through at least next Tuesday, there is the potential
for a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very
dry conditions. While the models are currently showing weakening
upper level support, there will be a potential for weak to moderate
Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling into the
single digits and teens. The strongest winds and highest
temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday, but continued warm and
breezy conditions will be possible. This could bring a return of
critical  fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California for much of the coming week.


$$



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