Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 272304
FWLLOX

ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
304 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

ECC029-281715-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
304 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

FOR TONIGHT...VERY WEAK NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA...RESULTING IN POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS.

ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN
TO THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY.
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE AS THE TEMPERATURES
COOL. HOWEVER FOR THE MOUNTAINS...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AND LIMITED OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. SO WITH
ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...WITH AN HOUR OR TWO OF LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...COOL AND UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS THE WEST
COAST. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE
SIGNIFICANT STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE DETAILS OF
TIMING AND INTENSITY FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE NOT VERY CLEAR AS
THE COMPUTER MODELS DIFFER GREATLY IN THEIR FORECASTS. HOWEVER THE
POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...AND THE
SITUATION WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

A WEATHER PATTERN CHANGE WILL GET UNDERWAY BY LATE FRIDAY AS RAIN
BEGINS IN THE NORTH BAY. RAIN WILL THEN SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS MOST OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE DISTRICT ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. PERIODS
OF RAIN ARE THEN FORECAST TO CONTINUE FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE
PART OF NEXT WEEK. RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES FROM SUNDAY
ONWARD...AND LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT
TIMES...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE COASTAL HILLS.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-281715-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
304 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

FOR TONIGHT...VERY WEAK NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA...RESULTING IN POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS.

ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN
TO THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY.
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE AS THE TEMPERATURES
COOL. HOWEVER FOR THE MOUNTAINS...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AND LIMITED OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. SO WITH
ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...WITH AN HOUR OR TWO OF LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...COOL AND UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS THE WEST
COAST. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE
SIGNIFICANT STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE DETAILS OF
TIMING AND INTENSITY FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE NOT VERY CLEAR AS
THE COMPUTER MODELS DIFFER GREATLY IN THEIR FORECASTS. HOWEVER THE
POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...AND THE
SITUATION WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY.


$$

ECC031-281715-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
304 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

FOR TONIGHT...VERY WEAK NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA...RESULTING IN POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS.

ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN
TO THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY.
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE AS THE TEMPERATURES
COOL. HOWEVER FOR THE MOUNTAINS...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AND LIMITED OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. SO WITH
ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...WITH AN HOUR OR TWO OF LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...COOL AND UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS THE WEST
COAST. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE
SIGNIFICANT STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE DETAILS OF
TIMING AND INTENSITY FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE NOT VERY CLEAR AS
THE COMPUTER MODELS DIFFER GREATLY IN THEIR FORECASTS. HOWEVER THE
POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...AND THE
SITUATION WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY.


$$

ECC024-281715-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
304 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

FOR TONIGHT...VERY WEAK NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA...RESULTING IN POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS.

ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN
TO THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY.
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE AS THE TEMPERATURES
COOL. HOWEVER FOR THE MOUNTAINS...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AND LIMITED OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. SO WITH
ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...WITH AN HOUR OR TWO OF LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...COOL AND UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS THE WEST
COAST. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE
SIGNIFICANT STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE DETAILS OF
TIMING AND INTENSITY FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE NOT VERY CLEAR AS
THE COMPUTER MODELS DIFFER GREATLY IN THEIR FORECASTS. HOWEVER THE
POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...AND THE
SITUATION WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY.


$$

ECC032-281715-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
304 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

FOR TONIGHT...VERY WEAK NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA...RESULTING IN POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS.

ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN
TO THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY.
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE AS THE TEMPERATURES
COOL. HOWEVER FOR THE MOUNTAINS...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AND LIMITED OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. SO WITH
ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...WITH AN HOUR OR TWO OF LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...COOL AND UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS THE WEST
COAST. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE
SIGNIFICANT STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE DETAILS OF
TIMING AND INTENSITY FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE NOT VERY CLEAR AS
THE COMPUTER MODELS DIFFER GREATLY IN THEIR FORECASTS. HOWEVER THE
POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...AND THE
SITUATION WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY.


$$

ECC030-281715-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
304 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

FOR TONIGHT...VERY WEAK NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA...RESULTING IN POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS.

ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN
TO THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY.
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE AS THE TEMPERATURES
COOL. HOWEVER FOR THE MOUNTAINS...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AND LIMITED OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. SO WITH
ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...WITH AN HOUR OR TWO OF LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...COOL AND UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS THE WEST
COAST. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE
SIGNIFICANT STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE DETAILS OF
TIMING AND INTENSITY FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE NOT VERY CLEAR AS
THE COMPUTER MODELS DIFFER GREATLY IN THEIR FORECASTS. HOWEVER THE
POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...AND THE
SITUATION WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY.


$$






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