Land Management Forecasts Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
000
FNUS86 KSGX 181051
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
351 AM PDT SAT MAY 18 2013
##########################################################
## If you need to edit any discussions below ##
## in the sections labeled as: ##
## ##
## ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035- ##
## ##
## Then edit them in this product and store as: ##
## ##
## LAXECCSGX ##
## ##
## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
## ##
## No action is required if you like the current ##
## discussions in the fire weather forecast (and ##
## they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too). ##
##########################################################
SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS
Discussion from LAXFWFSGX
THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES WILL MOVE
INLAND WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST BRINGING A
WARMING AND DRYING TREND INTO MONDAY WITH A DECREASING MARINE LAYER
DEPTH. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO 25 MPH NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS MONDAY
MORNING. FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE INLAND ALONG THE WEST COAST BRINGING COOLING...HIGHER
HUMIDITIES...A DEEPER MARINE LAYER...AND GUSTY WEST WINDS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS.
Discussion from LAXFWFLOX
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THE ANTELOPE
VALLEY...I-5 CORRIDOR...AND SANTA YNEZ RANGE. THESE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN LAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS.
THE DEEP MARINE LAYER WILL CONTINUE BUT SHRINK IN DEPTH AND
COVERAGE...AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. WARMING AND DRYING
WILL FIRST OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS ON
SATURDAY...CONTINUING FURTHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH VALLEY
AREAS INCLUDED. DAYTIME HUMIDITIES OVER THE INLAND PORTIONS
SHOULD DROP INTO THE TEENS...WITH THE WARMEST LOCATIONS
APPROACHING 90 DEGREES AS EARLY AS SUNDAY. THE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
WILL WEAKEN SOME AND LOCALLY TURN NORTHEASTERLY ON MONDAY...ADDING
TO THE WARMING AND DRYING. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE AREA
FROM THE NORTH BY MID-WEEK...BRINGING COOLER AND MOISTER
CONDITIONS...BUT ALSO POTENTIALLY STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST
FLOW...ESPECIALLY TO SANTA BARBARA COUNTY.
Discussion from SFOFWFHNX
A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ON THE EAST SIDE OF AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL RESIDE OVER THE
DISTRICT THROUGH MONDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL TREND LOWER AND TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM A LITTLE EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE RIDGE GRADUALLY
BUILDS INTO CALIFORNIA. BRISK WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AND BELOW THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES THIS WEEKEND AND PEAK IN INTENSITY SATURDAY
EVENING. A COOLING TREND WILL BEGIN TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETTLES SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST.
AN INCREASE IN ONSHORE FLOW DURING THIS TIME WILL SUPPORT GUSTY WINDS
ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND IN THE KERN COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT.
Discussion from RNOFWFVEF
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEEN THROUGH
THIS EVENING ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS LINCOLN COUNTY AS A WEAK STORM CONTINUES TO SHIFT EAST OUT OF
THE AREA. A SECOND SYSTEM WILL BRUSH BY TO THE NORTHEAST ON
SATURDAY/SUNDAY WITH LOCAL GUSTY WINDS BEING THE MAIN RESULT OF
THIS SYSTEM. DRY CONDITIONS WILL THEN CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK WHILE TEMPERATURES WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY.
Discussion from PHXFWFPSR
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY
ARE EXPECTED AS RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD EASTWARD INTO THE REGION.
WINDS WILL REVERT BACK TO THE USUAL DIURNAL TRENDS TODAY AND SUNDAY
WHILE AFTERNOON BREEZINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION. MINIMUM HUMIDITY LEVELS OF AROUND 10 PERCENT WILL BE
COMMONPLACE ACROSS THE LOWER DESERTS BOTH DAYS.
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
############# Modify the discussions below ###############
ECC033-182251-
DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
351 AM PDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES WILL MOVE
INLAND WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST BRINGING A
WARMING AND DRYING TREND INTO MONDAY WITH A DECREASING MARINE LAYER
DEPTH. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO 25 MPH NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS MONDAY
MORNING. FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE INLAND ALONG THE WEST COAST BRINGING COOLING...HIGHER
HUMIDITIES...A DEEPER MARINE LAYER...AND GUSTY WEST WINDS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS.
$$
ECC034-182251-
DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
351 AM PDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES WILL MOVE
INLAND WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST BRINGING A
WARMING AND DRYING TREND INTO MONDAY WITH A DECREASING MARINE LAYER
DEPTH. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO 25 MPH NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS MONDAY
MORNING. FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE INLAND ALONG THE WEST COAST BRINGING COOLING...HIGHER
HUMIDITIES...A DEEPER MARINE LAYER...AND GUSTY WEST WINDS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS.
$$
ECC035-182251-
DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
351 AM PDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES WILL MOVE
INLAND WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST BRINGING A
WARMING AND DRYING TREND INTO MONDAY WITH A DECREASING MARINE LAYER
DEPTH. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO 25 MPH NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS MONDAY
MORNING. FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE INLAND ALONG THE WEST COAST BRINGING COOLING...HIGHER
HUMIDITIES...A DEEPER MARINE LAYER...AND GUSTY WEST WINDS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS.
$$