Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 140200
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
700 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014

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##           in the sections labeled as:                ##
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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##    Then edit them in this product and store as:      ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH
MONDAY.  A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AS WELL LATE
TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY...WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION POSSIBLE STARTING
LATE TONIGHT.  EVEN AREAS WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY.  WETTING RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY
AS WELL.  A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REDEVELOP ON TUESDAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH DESERTS...WITH
DRIER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK.

***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX

A MOIST TROPICAL AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA
THROUGH THE WEEK. THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
MONDAY AND THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXTEND FROM EASTERN
LOS ANGELES COUNTY TO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY
ON MONDAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHWEST OVER THE AREA AT
APPROXIMATELY 30 MPH AND THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE LOW ON
MONDAY. THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE HIGH COUNTRY
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AND STRONG DOWNDRAFT WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH AT 15 MPH OR LESS AND THE
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGH TUESDAY. THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL
WILL DECREASE WEDNESDAY AS THE AIR MASS DRIES AND THE THREAT OF DRY
LIGHTNING WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A COOLING TREND IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL DIFFER BY MINUS 2 TO 8
DEGREES EACH DAY FROM THE PREVIOUS DAY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL THEN DIFFER BY MINUS 2 DEGREES OR LESS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY AND WILL RANGE 2 TO 6 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL. A WEAK
TO MODERATE ONSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY
AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY.


Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

WHILE MONDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BEGIN INCREASING AND CONTINUE TRENDING UP
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND DOWN BEGINNING TUESDAY.
BIGGEST CONCERN WILL BE A RETURN OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
OVERALL EXPECTING WET STORMS BUT MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW BEGINNING
TUESDAY. ELEVATED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK...THOUGH TUESDAY LOOKS
LIKE THE BEST CHANCE AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
AND TERRAIN DRIVEN EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS.


Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

MOISTURE WILL SPREAD BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA TODAY
LEADING TO A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. A MOIST
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE ENTIRE REGION MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WITH EXPANDING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO
TREND COOLER WITH INCREASING MOISTURE.


Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY AS ABUNDANT MONSOON MOISTURE MAKES IT WAY
INTO THE AREA. A SURGE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED EARLY MONDAY MORNING
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S SPREADING INTO THE AREA. THUS BY
MONDAY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY FALL INTO A 20 TO 40 PERCENT
RANGE WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. SIMILAR VALUES ARE
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-141400-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
700 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014


SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH
MONDAY.  A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AS WELL LATE
TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY...WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION POSSIBLE STARTING
LATE TONIGHT.  EVEN AREAS WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY.  WETTING RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY
AS WELL.  A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REDEVELOP ON TUESDAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH DESERTS...WITH
DRIER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK.
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***

$$

ECC034-141400-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
700 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014


SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH
MONDAY.  A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AS WELL LATE
TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY...WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION POSSIBLE STARTING
LATE TONIGHT.  EVEN AREAS WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY.  WETTING RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY
AS WELL.  A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REDEVELOP ON TUESDAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH DESERTS...WITH
DRIER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK.
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***

$$

ECC035-141400-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
700 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014


SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH
MONDAY.  A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AS WELL LATE
TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY...WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION POSSIBLE STARTING
LATE TONIGHT.  EVEN AREAS WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY.  WETTING RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY
AS WELL.  A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REDEVELOP ON TUESDAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH DESERTS...WITH
DRIER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK.
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***

$$




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