Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 111209
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER MARSH...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
709 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO AND OVER THE AREA TODAY INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
COAST FRIDAY MORNING...THEN LIFTS NORTHEAST OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA
AND VIRGINIA COASTS AND OUT TO SEA FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EST)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............22  22  25  25  25  28  28  28  21  21  21
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................23  24  25  26  28  29  30  30  31  30  29
RH..................57  52  50  46  42  40  39  39  37  39  40
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......14  15  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....25  26  26  28  29  29  30  30  29  29  29
LVORI...............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................62  66  70  74  78  82  85  85  83  81  38
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....69  75  82  90  98  106 112 111 108 105 90

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 16.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-1100 FT
                    AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH...DECREASING TO 12 TO 18
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............12  12  12  11  11  11  10  10  10  28  28  28
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................28  26  24  24  23  22  21  21  20  19  18  18
RH..................42  46  50  52  54  57  59  59  62  64  67  67
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......14  13  13  12  12  10  10  10  9   8   7   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....25  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....28  28  28  28  26  25  23  21  18  16  14  12
LVORI...............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................38  37  37  36  35  28  26  14  13  11  10  9
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/1000....75  60  56  52  47  39  31  24  18  12  8   5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............45  45  45  70  70  70  78  78  78  87  87  87
WEATHER COV.........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                        SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................18  18  20  22  24  26  27  28  29  30  30  30
RH..................67  67  62  57  54  50  48  46  48  49  53  55
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   6   7   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   7   6   6   7   8   9   10  13  14  15  15
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................7   7   7   7   9   12  15  18  21  23  24  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....3   2   3   5   7   9   12  16  17  18  19  15



FORECASTER...GINGRICH
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.BLACK.01/AKQ


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