Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 220152
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Oldham Co...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
752 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 2000 CST on January 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Northwest winds will persist through the night, without much change in
direction.  The northwest winds will gradually diminish in speed late
tonight, just before sunrise.  Northwest winds will continue Monday
morning, falling to speeds below 10 MPH around 3 PM.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13 to 22 mph.
Mixing height.......3000-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 500-2000 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 24 to 29 mph decreasing to 13 to 17
                    mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (75000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to
                    good (5500-42000 knot-ft) in the late evening
                    and overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............38     35     31     30     29
RH..............52     59     63     60     60
20 ft wind......NW 13  NW 17  NW 22  NW 22  NW 21
20 ft wind gust.20     28     33     33     32
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5    2.0    0.5    0.5    0.5
Transp wind dir.NW     NW     W      NW     NW
Transp wind spd.29     24     13     14     15
Haines index....3      3      2      2      2
VRate kt-ft/1000113    42     6      6      7

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13 to 21 mph decreasing to 5 to
                    10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2000 ft AGL increasing to 4000-5500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then increasing to
                    6000-6500 ft AGL early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 4500 ft AGL late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 17 mph increasing to 24 to 31
                    mph late in the morning, then decreasing to 10
                    to 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (5000-30000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (84000 knot-ft) late in the morning,
                    then increasing to excellent (136500 knot-ft)
                    early in the afternoon decreasing to fair to
                    excellent (22500-67500 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............28     28     29     41     50     52
RH..............58     53     46     26     17     15
20 ft wind......NW 21  NW 20  NW 17  NW 16  NW 13  NW 7
20 ft wind gust.32     29     25     24     18     9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5    0.5    2.0    5.5    6.0    4.5
Transp wind dir.NW     W      NW     NW     NW     NW
Transp wind spd.15     12     17     30     29     17
Haines index....2      2      2      4      4      4
VRate kt-ft/10007      5      30     143    150    68

$$
Forecaster...Cockrell
Requested by...Merkel TFS
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1800666.0/AMA



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