Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FNUS74 KAMA 211331
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
731 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 CST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL AND MOIST UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST TO NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL PREVAIL
AT THE BURN SITE TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE
BURN SITE LATE TONIGHT...AFTER 0000 CST TO 0300 CST SUNDAY MORNING BRINGING
CHANCES FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN INITIALLY BUT THEN CHANGING TO SNOW BY 0600 CST
SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE DAY
SUNDAY AND THEN TAPERING OFF SLOWLY BY SUNDAY EVENING. LIGHT SNOW WILL
PREVAIL SUNDAY EVENING. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE BURN SITE
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AFTER 0000
CST TO 0300 CST MONDAY MORNING. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY TODAY BUT
BECOMING CLOUDY BY THIS EVENING. CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............33     38     47     54     57     56
RH..............85     70     49     38     35     35
20 FT WIND......N 8    N 7    NE 8   E 8    SE 8   SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-2000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    2500-3000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
TEMP............51     45     39     35     31     27
RH..............42     55     73     85     100    100
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 14  SE 14  SE 14  E 14   E 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20     25
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     40     40     40
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 21 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 22 TO 28 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
TEMP............24     26     25     21     22     22
RH..............100    100    92     88     81     81
20 FT WIND......E 20   NE 21  NE 20  NE 18  NE 17  NE 15
20 FT WIND GUST.30     30     30     25     25     25
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...SCHNEIDER
REQUESTED BY...TODD WOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150221.SOUTH.02/AMA






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.