Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 181805
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Paloma...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1205 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 CST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

General trend will be for 25G35 knot north winds to gradually decrease
through the afternoon as mid/upper level wave shifts east over OK.
Winds are expected to become light and variable by evening. Current RH
reading are coming in around 30 percent and should drop down to near 20
percent by 2-3pm lasting 1-2 hours. Winds at this time are expected to have
decreased to around 15G25 knots. RH recovery should be good overnight with
max RH near 60 percent. Winds are expected to become breezy out of the
southwest on Sunday afternoon at around 15-20 knots with gusts around 25-30
knots. A Haines Index around 5 is also likely Wednesday afternoon as RH dips
to around 20 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 15 to 25 mph decreasing to around 9
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL decreasing to 2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 25 to 30 mph decreasing to 9 to 16 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (114000 knot-ft) decreasing to fair
                    to good (16000-56000 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1
Temp............53     53     48
RH..............22     20     27
20 ft wind......N 22   N 16   N 9
20 ft wind gust.33     24     12
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5    6.0    2.0
Transp wind dir.N      N      N
Transp wind spd.28     22     9
Haines index....3      3      3
VRate kt-ft/1000132    114    16

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    5 to 7 mph early in the evening.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............46     44     42     39     34     30
RH..............32     35     37     40     47     55
20 ft wind......N 5    E 5    S 5    S 5    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6      7      8      8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5    0.5    0.1    0.1    0.1    0.1
Transp wind dir.N      W      W      SW     SW     S
Transp wind spd.5      2      2      5      6      6
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
VRate kt-ft/10002      1      0      0      0      0

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 18
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 2500-4000 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then increasing to
                    3000-4500 ft AGL late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 1500 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 14 mph increasing to 14 to 22
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-37500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (45000-81000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to fair (18000
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............29     31     44     55     60     60
RH..............60     58     36     25     20     20
20 ft wind......S 7    S 9    S 13   S 17   S 18   S 16
20 ft wind gust.9      12     18     25     26     24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1    0.5    1.5    3.5    4.0    3.0
Transp wind dir.S      S      SW     SW     SW     SW
Transp wind spd.7      8      14     20     22     17
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
VRate kt-ft/10000      4      18     60     76     45

$$
Forecaster...Ward
Requested by...Texas A&M Forest Service
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1718979.0/AMA


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