Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 250157
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK RX...PIDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
757 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 MDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSEASONABLY WARM UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY TO THE EAST ON SATURDAY...RESULTING
IN LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN VERY WARM
UNDER FULL SUNSHINE AND THE WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW. HUMIDITIES WILL
ALSO BE VERY LOW FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IN THE WARM AND DRY
AIRMASS.  WINDS SHOULD START THE DAY LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY AND
THEN TRANSITION TO MORE OF A SOUTH/SOUTHEAST COMPONENT IN THE
AFTERNOON. LIKE FRIDAY...THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OF UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
WINDS AND A NORTHERLY COMPONENT DEVELOPING BY 1330-1530.

ON SUNDAY...WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE BUT MILD TEMPERATURES
AND LOWER HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. COOLER WEATHER WITH
HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL RETURN BY MONDAY.


.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........11%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTH/SOUTHEAST 5-9 MPH. A LIGHT NORTH/
                    NORTHWEST AT 2-6 MPH IS POSSIBLE 1330-1630.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 7900-8900 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........55%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST
                    20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 5100-6100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/24-19  0  0  0 62 19   S  6  6 3 1   W 22  5649  SW  8 41440  F
10/24-20  0  0  0 58 23 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 23  3373  SW  7 23733 P
10/24-21  0  0  0 54 27 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 24  1098  SW  6  6027 P
10/24-22  0  0  0 51 32 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 24   959 WSW  6  4894 P
10/24-23  0  0  0 49 35 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 24   821 WSW  5  3761 P
10/25-00  0  0  0 48 37   S  6  6 4 1   W 24   682 WSW  5  2628 P
10/25-01  0  0  0 47 38 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 22   693 WSW  6  3260 P
10/25-02  0  0  0 46 38 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 21   703  SW  7  3893 P
10/25-03  0  0  0 45 38 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 18   714  SW  7  4526 P
10/25-04  0  0  0 44 39  SW  7  7 4 1   W 17   693  SW  8  4562 P
10/25-05  0  0  0 43 40  SW  7  7 4 1   W 16   672  SW  8  4598 P
10/25-06  0  0  0 43 39  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   651  SW  8  4634 P
10/25-07  0  0  0 46 36  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 16   790  SW  8  5762 P
10/25-08  0  0  0 50 31  SW  6  6 4 1 WSW 18   930  SW  8  6891 P
10/25-09  0  0  0 55 26 SSW  6  6 4 1 WSW 21  1069  SW  9  8020 P
10/25-10  0  0  0 60 22 SSW  5  5 4 1  SW 23  2526  SW 10 27757 P
10/25-11  1  0  0 65 19   S  5  5 5 1  SW 24  3983 SSW 13 47493  F
10/25-12  1  0  0 69 16   S  5  5 5 1  SW 26  5439 SSW 14 67230   G
10/25-13  1  0  0 73 13 SSE  6  6 4 1  SW 29  6847 SSW 15 92248   G
10/25-14  2  0  0 74 12 SSE  8  8 4 1  SW 31  8255  SW 16117266    V
10/25-15  2  0  0 74 11 SSE  9  9 3 1  SW 32  9663  SW 17142285    V
10/25-16  2  0  0 71 13 SSE  8  8 3 1 WSW 30  8446  SW 16120674    V
10/25-17  3  0  0 67 15   S  8  8 4 1 WSW 26  7228  SW 15 99063   G
10/25-18  4  1  0 62 19   S  7  7 4 1 WSW 23  6011 WSW 15 77453   G
10/25-19  5  1  0 58 23 SSW  7  7 4 1 WSW 24  4551 WSW 14 57124  F
10/25-20  7  1  0 54 28 SSW  7  7 3 1   W 25  3090 WSW 13 36795 P
10/25-21  8  1  0 51 33  SW  7  7 3 1   W 26  1630 WSW 12 16466 P
10/25-22  8  1  0 49 36  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 26  1250 WSW 14 13415 P
10/25-23  8  1  0 47 39 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 26   870 WSW 15 10364 P
10/26-00  8  0  0 46 42 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 26   491   W 17  7313 P
10/26-01  8  0  0 45 44 WSW  9  9 4 1 WSW 28   519   W 21  9394 P
10/26-02  8  0  0 44 46 WSW 12 17 4 1 WSW 29   548   W 24 11474 P
10/26-03  8  0  0 43 49 WSW 14 21 5 1 WSW 30   576   W 28 13554 P
10/26-04  8  0  0 42 51 WSW 14 21 5 1 WSW 32   579   W 26 13512 P
10/26-05  8  0  0 41 54 WSW 14 20 4 1 WSW 36   583   W 26 13469 P
10/26-06 34  0  0 41 55 WSW 13 20 4 1 WSW 38   587   W 26 13427 P
10/26-07 34  0  0 42 54 WSW 13 20 4 1 WSW 33  1146   W 28 29457 P
10/26-08 34  0  0 44 50 WSW 14 20 3 1   W 30  1706   W 30 45488  F
10/26-09 34  0  0 48 44 WSW 14 21 3 1   W 25  2266   W 31 61519   G
10/26-10 34  0  0 53 37 WSW 15 22 3 1   W 33  3430   W 30 87054   G
10/26-11 34  0  0 59 30 WSW 15 23 2 1   W 40  4594   W 29112590    V
10/26-12 25  0  0 63 25 WSW 15 23 2 1   W 48  5758   W 28138125    V
10/26-13 25  0  0 65 23 WSW 14 21 2 1   W 47  5890   W 26134342    V
10/26-14 25  0  0 65 22 WSW 12 17 2 1   W 45  6022   W 25130560    V
10/26-15 25  0  0 64 23 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 43  6155   W 24126777    V
10/26-16 25  0  0 62 24 WSW 10 15 2 1   W 43  5832   W 22113073    V
10/26-17 25  0  0 59 27 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 41  5510   W 21 99369   G
10/26-18 33  2  0 56 30 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 40  5188   W 20 85665   G
10/26-19 33  2  0 52 35 WSW  9 14 3 1   W 36  4047   W 18 66038   G
10/26-20 33  2  0 49 39 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 31  2906   W 18 46410  F
10/26-21 33  2  0 46 43 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 26  1765 WSW 17 26783 P
10/26-22 33  2  0 44 47 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 28  1545 WSW 17 23563 P
10/26-23 33  2  0 43 50 WSW  8  8 4 1 WSW 29  1325   W 17 20342 P
10/27-00 46  9  2 42 53 WSW  8  8 4 1 WSW 31  1106   W 17 17122 P
10/27-01 46  9  2 41 56 WSW  8  8 4 1 WSW 31  1003   W 16 14510 P
10/27-02 46  9  2 40 60   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 32   901 WSW 15 11899 P
10/27-03 46  9  2 39 64   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 32   798 WSW 14  9288 P
10/27-04 46  9  2 38 69   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 37   782   W 10  7179 P
10/27-05 46  9  2 37 72   W  6  6 2 1 WSW 43   765  NW  8  5071 P
10/27-06 76 19  4 36 75   W  6  6 2 1   W 47   749   N  5  2962 P
10/27-07 76 19  4 36 74   W  6  6 2 1   W 44  1125 NNE  5  3599 P
10/27-08 76 19  4 38 66   W  6  6 2 1   W 40  1500 ENE  3  4237 P
10/27-09 76 19  4 41 57   W  6  6 2 1   W 38  1876   E  3  4874 P
10/27-10 76 19  4 44 49   W  6  6 2 1   W 36  3443  SE  6 22499 P
10/27-11 76 19  4 47 43   W  7  7 2 1   W 33  5011 SSW  8 40123  F
10/27-12 73 25  5 50 37   W  7  7 2 1   W 31  6578  SW 10 57748  F
10/27-13 73 25  5 51 35 WNW  7  7 2 1   W 31  6414  SW  9 48755  F
10/27-14 73 25  5 51 35  NW  7  7 2 1   W 30  6250 SSW  7 39762 P
10/27-15 73 25  5 50 36 NNW  6  6 2 1   W 30  6086 SSW  6 30768 P
10/27-16 73 25  5 48 38   N  6  6 2 1   W 29  5179   S  6 26741 P
10/27-17 73 25  5 45 42 NNE  5  5 3 1   W 29  4272 ESE  6 22713 P
10/27-18 47  6  1 42 47 NNE  5  5 3 1   W 28  3364   E  7 18686 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141025.TROUT.01/BOU



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