Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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785
FNUS75 KBOU 231432
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Elkhorn 3 Piles...NATURE CONSERVANCY
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
732 AM MST Tue Jan 23 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on January 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Northwest flow behind an exiting system will bring
gusty west winds up to 30 mph and dry conditions today. The winds
and daytime heating will provide for good to very good smoke
dispersion.  Warmer conditions are expected Wednesday under an
upper level ridge of high pressure, with continued good to very
good smoke dispersion.  Windy conditions are expected to develop
Wednesday night and very windy conditions will be possible
Thursday night.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 32.
Min humidity........33-35%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8-14 mph with gusts to around 24
                    mph.
Mixing height.......4300-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 35-40 mph until 1100, then 25-35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1600, then good.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 18.
Max humidity........54%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9-15 mph with gusts to around 24
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2000-3000 ft AGL until 2000, then 1200-1300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20-30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1800, then fair until 1900, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........28%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8-14 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the
                    morning then 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25-30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
                    good until 1300, then very good until 1500,
                    then good until 1600, then fair.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds 6-10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Colder. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 5-13 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows around 16. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
6-10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 30s.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s.


Fire Weather Table for Elkhorn 3 Piles.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/23-08 14  5  1 17 59   W 14 22 2 1         2978   W 39 99992   G
01/23-09 14  5  1 19 58   W 15 24 2 1         3621 WNW 37116889    V
01/23-10 14  4  1 22 52   W 16 25 2 1         4264 WNW 36132125    V
01/23-11 14  3  1 26 46   W 16 25 2 1         4906 WNW 35145701    V
01/23-12 14  2  0 29 39   W 15 24 2 1         5221 WNW 32146751    V
01/23-13 14  2  0 32 35   W 14 22 2 1         5536 WNW 31146801    V
01/23-14 14  1  0 32 35   W 13 21 2 1         5850 WNW 29145850    V
01/23-15 14  1  0 30 39   W 12 18 2 1         4930 WNW 26114406    V
01/23-16 14  0  0 27 41   W 10 16 2 1         4009   W 24 86133   G
01/23-17 13  0  0 24 46   W  8 13 2 1         3088   W 23 61032   G
01/23-18 12  0  0 21 52   W  9 15 2 1         2471   W 23 48602  F
01/23-19  9  0  0 19 54   W  9 15 3 1         1854   W 23 36288 P
01/23-20  6  0  0 18 54 WSW  9 15 3 1         1236   W 22 24089 P
01/23-21 10  0  0 18 54 WSW  8 13 3 1         1215   W 23 24180 P
01/23-22 13  0  0 19 49 WSW 10 16 3 1         1193   W 23 24254 P
01/23-23 17  0  0 20 45 WSW 10 16 3 1         1172   W 24 24309 P
01/24-00 17  0  0 21 43 WSW 12 18 3 1         1201   W 26 27761 P
01/24-01 17  0  0 22 41 WSW 16 25 3 1         1230   W 29 31352 P
01/24-02 18  0  0 23 40 WSW 16 25 3 1         1259   W 32 35080 P
01/24-03 17  0  0 23 40 WSW 18 30 2 1         1258   W 30 32183 P
01/24-04 17  0  0 24 40   W 20 31 2 1         1258 WSW 26 29288 P
01/24-05 16  0  0 25 38   W 13 21 2 1         1257 WSW 24 25771 P
01/24-06 15  0  0 26 37   W 13 21 2 1         1302 WSW 24 26837 P
01/24-07 12  0  0 26 37   W 12 18 2 1         1347 WSW 24 27913 P
01/24-08 11  0  0 28 35   W 12 18 2 1         1392 WSW 24 28998 P
01/24-09 13  0  0 31 34   W 12 18 2 1         1943 WSW 26 44698  F
01/24-10 16  0  0 35 32   W 13 21 2 1         2495   W 29 62787   G
01/24-11 17  0  0 39 30   W 13 13 3 1         3046   W 31 83267   G
01/24-12 17  0  0 41 29   W 13 13 3 1         3330   W 32 91713   G
01/24-13 16  0  0 43 28   W 13 13 3 1         3614   W 32100276    V
01/24-14 15  0  0 43 28   W 16 25 3 1         3898   W 32108955    V
01/24-15 17  0  0 42 28   W 15 24 3 1         3211 WSW 29 81661   G
01/24-16 20  0  0 39 29 WSW 14 22 3 1         2524 WSW 26 57828  F
01/24-17 22  0  0 36 31 WSW 13 13 3 1         1836 WSW 23 37455 P
01/24-18 20  0  0 33 33 WSW 12 12 3 1         1601 WSW 22 30965 P
01/24-19 15  0  0 31 35 WSW 12 12 3 1         1367 WSW 21 24973 P
01/24-20 13  0  0 29 37 WSW 12 12 4 1         1132 WSW 20 19479 P
01/24-21 18  0  0 28 38 WSW 12 12 4 1         1105 WSW 20 19042 P
01/24-22 29  0  0 28 37 WSW 12 12 4 1         1077 WSW 20 18603 P
01/24-23 33  1  0 28 35 WSW 12 12 4 1         1050 WSW 20 18163 P
01/25-00 29  1  0 27 34 WSW  9  9 4 1         1044 WSW 21 18425 P
01/25-01 20  1  0 26 34 WSW  8  8 4 1         1038 WSW 21 18683 P
01/25-02 16  1  0 26 32 WSW  8  8 4 1         1032 WSW 21 18937 P
01/25-03 20  1  0 27 30 WSW  8  8 4 1         1044 WSW 21 18856 P
01/25-04 26  1  0 28 29 WSW  8  8 4 1         1056  SW 21 18769 P
01/25-05 30  1  0 28 29 WSW  8  8 4 1         1067  SW 20 18675 P
01/25-06 26  1  0 27 29 WSW  8  8 4 1         1078  SW 20 18424 P
01/25-07 17  1  0 26 30 WSW  9  9 4 1         1089  SW 20 18164 P
01/25-08 13  1  0 28 28 WSW  9  9 4 1         1100  SW 18 17895 P
01/25-09 17  1  0 33 26 WSW  9  9 4 1         2152  SW 26 49038  F
01/25-10 26  1  0 40 24  SW 10 10 4 1         3204  SW 33 93896   G
01/25-11 26  1  0 45 23  SW 10 10 4 1         4256  SW 41152472     E
01/25-12 27  1  0 48 21  SW 10 10 4 1         4886  SW 46197629     E
01/25-13 32  1  0 48 20  SW 12 12 4 1         5515  SW 52248611     E
01/25-14 35  1  0 47 20  SW 13 13 5 1         6144  SW 58305420     E
01/25-15 38  1  0 45 21  SW 13 13 4 1         5626 WSW 55272424     E
01/25-16 40  1  0 43 22 WSW 12 12 3 1         5108 WSW 54240761     E
01/25-17 43 11  2 40 25 WSW 10 10 3 1         4590 WSW 53210433     E
01/25-18 45 11  2 38 27 WSW 10 10 2 1         4196 WSW 51185556     E
01/25-19 47 11  2 35 31 WSW 12 12 2 1         3801 WSW 49161957     E
01/25-20 49 11  2 33 35 WSW 12 12 2 1         3407 WSW 47139636    V
01/25-21 51 11  2 31 38   W 12 12 2 1         3789 WSW 44142639    V
01/25-22 53 11  2 30 40   W 12 12 2 1         4171   W 39143090    V
01/25-23 55 23  5 29 42   W 12 12 2 1         4553   W 36140991    V
01/26-00 53 23  5 28 44   W  9  9 2 1         4637   W 36141964    V
01/26-01 51 23  5 27 46   W  9  9 2 1         4721   W 35142877    V
01/26-02 49 23  5 25 50   W  8  8 2 1         4805   W 35143732    V
01/26-03 47 23  5 24 52   W  8  8 2 1         4722   W 36146010    V
01/26-04 45 23  5 23 55   W  8  8 2 1         4639   W 37148120    V
01/26-05 43  7  1 23 54   W  8  8 2 1         4555   W 38150061     E

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...Carmella LoCascio
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800645.2/BOU



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