Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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SPOT FORECAST FOR CUMMINGTON FAIR...MEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1113 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER TODAY TO ALL OF MASSACHUSETTS.
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE RISK FOR AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...ALTHOUGH MOST
LOCATIONS REMAIN DRY.

.OUTLOOK...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO THURSDAY ALONG
THE SOUTH COAST...THEN LARGE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH OUT OF
CENTRAL CANADA AND THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
HEAT INDEX..........MISSING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-5000 FT
                    AGL EARLY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2000-47800 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING
                    TO GOOD TO GOOD (48000-56100 KNOT-FT) LATE.

TIME (EDT)          12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............14  27  28  31  35  38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................78  80  81  82  83  82
RH..................52  49  47  47  46  47
SURFACE WND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
SURFACE WND SPD.....7   7   7   7   7   6
SURFACE WND GST.....10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.7 4.4 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  13  13  13  13  13
LVORI...............1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................46  49  52  51  50  48
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/1000....40  48  56  53  51  48
HEAT INDEX (F)......M   M   M   M   M   M

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AROUND MIDNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
HEAT INDEX..........MISSING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-900 FT AGL
                    UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4100-33100 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............44  51  57  60  62  64  67  69  71  70  68  67
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                    ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP................81  79  76  74  72  71  71  70  70  69  68  68
RH..................51  56  64  69  73  76  73  76  76  78  84  84
SURFACE WND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W
SURFACE WND SPD.....6   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   5   5   5
SURFACE WND GST.....10  10                      5   5           10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9
LVORI...............1   2   3   3   3   4   3   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.................41  22  7   7   7   7   7   5   5   7   6   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
VRATE KT-FT/1000....33  20  8   7   7   6   5   5   4   4   4   4
HEAT INDEX (F)......M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.MONDAY...

MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5600-49800 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (60900-83700 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 0.8 0.9 1.7 2.5 3.3 4.0 4.7 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  10  12  14  15  17  17  17  18  17  17  17
LVORI...............4   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................11  11  14  30  43  58  64  69  78  72  71  70
VRATE KT-FT/1000....6   7   9   20  33  50  61  72  84  79  74  70

$$
FORECASTER...NOCERA
REQUESTED BY...LAUREN SARDELLA
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 1600434.0/BOX



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