Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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305
FNUS73 KDLH 281744
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Mud Goose Rx...USFS Chippewa National Forest
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1244 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 29.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast...
please call the National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...Quiet weather for the prescribed burn site for
Saturday. Transport winds will be extremely light - in fact near
zero for the day. This will mean it will have to struggle to
reach even fair smoke dispersal during the day. That would be
the only real limiting factor.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the east
                    late in the morning shifting to the northeast
                    early in the afternoon shifting to the north.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph shifting to the east late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the northeast 0
                    to 5 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (400-16500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair (32200 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............41  46  48  49  51  52  53  53
RH..............46  39  37  36  34  32  32  32
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   NE  N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   8   9   9   10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.1
Transp wind dir.SE  E   NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   0   0   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100012  12  11  11  17  25  32  31

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL early in the evening.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26400 knot-ft) early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............52     47     38     34     32     31
RH..............36     47     75     78     80     85
20 ft wind......NE 5   NE 5   E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5
20 ft wind gust.9      7
Mix hgt (ft)....4800   M      M      M      M      M
Transport wind..NE 5   M      M      M      M      M
SDspl kt-ft/100026     M      M      M      M      M

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......MISSING.
Transport winds.....
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............29     33     41     46     48     48
RH..............88     78     57     47     46     46
20 ft wind......E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 10   E 10
20 ft wind gust.       6      8      12     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....M      M      M      M      M      M
Transport wind..M      M      M      M      M      M
SDspl kt-ft/1000M      M      M      M      M      M

$$
Forecaster...Dean P
Requested by...Michael Mackey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707968.0/DLH
.EMAIL mmackey@fs.fed.us,acook@fs.fed.us



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