Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 180252
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Wiseman...Fire District #1 Johnson County
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
852 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

The fire weather threat will be much lower on Saturday. Relative
humidity values at time of ignition will be around 80 percent and
drop to around 50 percent by mid afternoon. Temperatures at the
time of ignition will be around 50 degrees and will increase into
the upper 60s by mid afternoon. Winds will be southwest at 5 to 10
MPH at ignition time but will become southerly during the
afternoon.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 68.
RH..................80 percent at ignition...Min 49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds around 5
                    mph late in the morning becoming light, then
                    becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon
                    becoming light becoming south around 5 mph
                    early in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 500-2200 ft
                    AGL increasing to 1000-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37  33  23  18  17  14  13  14  16  13  15  19  21  24  30  33  39  51  57  58  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  54  58  62  64  66  67  66  64  62  59  56  54  53  52  51  50  49  48  48  48
RH..............80  71  64  58  54  50  50  52  56  58  64  74  80  83  86  89  93  93  96  96  96
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   4   5   6   6   6   5   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.            5       10  10  10      5   5                           5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  12  9   8   8   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  14  15  16  16  17  17  17  17  17
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL increasing to 1800-2800 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  65  70  73  72  71  71  67  60  57  59  62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  49  51  53  56  59  62  66  69  70  70  68
RH..............96  96  96  93  86  80  72  63  59  57  57  61
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   8   6
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 2.8 2.5 1.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  16  16  16  16  17  18  20  21  22
Haines index....5   5   5   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...MELL
Requested by...Trig Morley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702390.0/EAX
.EMAIL trig.morley@jocofd1.org


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