Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 241839
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CIRCLE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1239 PM MDT WED AUG 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1220 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WHICH WILL KEEP A DAILY CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE BURN AREA INTO THE WEEKEND.  MOISTURE IS NOT AS DEEP AS
IN PREVIOUS DAYS...SO HEAVY RAIN IS NOT AS MUCH OF A THREAT AS IT
HAS BEEN. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED FOR THE COMING
DAYS EITHER. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND NORTHWEST EXCEPT
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000-10600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (85900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10200-11400
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (64300 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160824.CIRCL.01/EPZ


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