Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 202107
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Royal Pines...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
407 PM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1700 CDT on August 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will be southeast at 7 to 10 mph with an occasional gust
to 15 mph through sunset. Relative humidity values will recover
through the evening to values over 90 percent after midnight.
Fire weather concerns will be similar to today on Monday although
an increase in moisture may bring a few showers and storms on Monday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 7 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......6600-7900 ft AGL decreasing to 900-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  20  17  15  12  11  10  9   16  22  29  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............99  97  94  91  88  85  83  82  81  80  78  77
RH..............32  35  41  47  55  63  67  72  74  79  85  87
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   6   6   5   4   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10          5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   3   2   2   2   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10          5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...7.9 7.7 6.6 4.6 3.5 3.0 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  14  15  16  17  17  17  17  16  14  12  8
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......900-1700 ft AGL increasing to 6100-8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  50  51  52  53  47  42  36  39  41  44  43
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............76  76  78  82  86  90  93  96  98  100 100 99
RH..............90  90  86  76  68  57  50  43  40  37  36  37
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.            5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.            5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.7 3.1 3.8 4.5 6.1 6.8 7.1 7.7 8.0 8.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  12
Haines index....3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1900, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......6900-8000 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........43  42  33  25  16  15  13  12  23  35  46  48
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............97  95  92  88  85  82  80  78  77  77  76  75
RH..............40  43  48  56  63  71  78  85  87  87  90  94
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.    10                  5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.    10                  5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 8.0 6.9 4.8 3.7 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  13  13  12  12  10  9   9   8   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100-2100 ft AGL increasing to 7900-8000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  51  50  50  49  45  40  36  38  39  41  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  74  76  80  84  87  91  94  96  98  98  98
RH..............97  97  90  79  70  60  51  44  41  38  38  37
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.            5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.            5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.3 2.1 3.6 4.3 4.8 5.8 6.3 6.7 7.6 8.0 7.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...10
Requested by...Texas A&M Forest Service
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714636.0/EWX
.EMAIL shamrick@tfs.tamu.edu



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