Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FNUS72 KFFC 062142
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRAWLEY UNITS A   B...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
442 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FOR THE SPOT SITE:
NOTE: MIXING HEIGHTS NOT COMPUTED HOURLY. PLEASE SEE THE DESCRIPTION
BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS.

DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN
N-WNW WINDS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BRISK
AT TIMES...AND GIVEN THE SOUTHERN EXPOSURE AT THE BURN SITE...SOME
DOWNSLOPING EFFECTS CAN BE EXPECTED. CURRENT FORECAST TRENDS PARALLEL
OBSERVATIONS AT LOCAL RAWS SITE...AND CONFIDENCE IN SPOT FORECAST IS
MEDIUM-HIGH.

FOR DAY 2...FORECAST HAS CHANCES OF SNOW BEGINNING AS EARLY AS MONDAY
MORNING...BUT PRIMARILY SEEING A TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW BY LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON...THEN ALL SNOW BY MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME TOTAL
FORECAST ACCUMULATIONS ARE AROUND 1-1.5 INCHES. ALTHOUGH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY...THE MAJORITY SHOULD OCCUR MONDAY
NIGHT AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-2500 BY 10AM...
                    THEN 2500-3200 FT AGL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON (AFTER 1PM).
                    MIXING HEIGHTS WILL DROP TO 300-500 FT BY 7PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10...INCREASING TO 64 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 52 EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 38 BY EARLY EVENING.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........9   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   18  25  25  25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............33  37  40  43  46  47  48  47  45  42  39  37
RH..............64  57  50  44  40  37  36  36  39  45  51  56
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
DISPERSION IDX..14  68  67  61  60  55  49  41  34  4   3   2
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........25     25     36     36     66     83
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSN   RNSN
TEMP............42     37     34     32     31     31
RH..............45     56     65     71     75     81
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 6    W 6    W 7    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
DISPERSION IDX..3      2      2      4      6      6
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      4      4
CWR.............0      10     10     10     20     20

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN TRANSITIONING TO SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE LATE AFTERNOON. ALL SNOW EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    LATE.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9...INCREASING TO 41.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........83     86     86     86     90     90
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSN   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSN
TEMP............31     32     37     37     37     37
RH..............86     84     70     69     67     65
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 7    W 8    W 9    W 10   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     20
DISPERSION IDX..7      8      26     29     37     44
LVORI...........5      4      3      3      3      1
CWR.............20     30     30     30     50     50

$$
FORECASTER...BELANGER
REQUESTED BY...NICHOLAS PETERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.BRAWL.01/FFC



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