Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 241151
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK CREEK WASH...NRA NAVAJO AREA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
451 AM MST WED DEC 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER ARIZONA TODAY WITH
LIGHTER WINDS AND WARMER HIGHS TEMPERATURES. A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA
TONIGHT AND ON CHRISTMAS DAY WITH STRONG WINDS...COLDER HIGHS...
AND A CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40 TO 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 33 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (5100 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......51.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....19 TO 22.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 TO 83 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS...INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    20 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.CHRISTMAS DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37 TO 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 TO 45 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    35 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (33600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......336.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...STUBBLEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...DARRYL K  WILSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141224.BLACK.01/FGZ






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