Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS74 KFWD 212327
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Central Spot Weather...Central Community Volunteer Fire Department
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
527 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on January 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty west-northwest winds are expected, as a dynamic system
affecting the Central and Southern Plains continues slowly moving
northeast during the day. Humidity levels will remain above 30
percent until midday, then fall to around 25 percent during the
afternoon hours. The Fire Weather Watch may be upgraded to a
Red Flag Warning by the time you start your prescribed burn.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph increasing to 37 mph in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 26 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900-3800 ft AGL increasing to 4800-6300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.  A surface dryline now along a Bowie, to Mineral Wells, to
Comanche line will continue moving east toward the I-35 corridor
through late afternoon. Breezy and dry conditions will occur west
of this boundary, especially along and west of U.S. 281 where an elevated to critical fire threat is
expected, as humidities fall to between 20 and 30 percent. Showers
and thunderstorms are expected to organize along the dryline as
it moves through the I-35 corridor late this afternoon. These
storms will be fast- moving and not yield much rainfall, but they
could produce damaging downburst winds, isolated tornadoes, along
with lighting and small hail. The storms will end from west to
east across eastern North and Central Texas late this evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest 35 to 43 mph.  A surface dryline now along a Bowie, to Mineral Wells, to
Comanche line will continue moving east toward the I-35 corridor
through late afternoon. Breezy and dry conditions will occur west
of this boundary, especially along and west of U.S. 281 where an elevated to critical fire threat is
expected, as humidities fall to between 20 and 30 percent. Showers
and thunderstorms are expected to organize along the dryline as
it moves through the I-35 corridor late this afternoon. These
storms will be fast- moving and not yield much rainfall, but they
could produce damaging downburst winds, isolated tornadoes, along
with lighting and small hail. The storms will end from west to
east across eastern North and Central Texas late this evening.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 15 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph increasing to 37 mph in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 26 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  49  51  53  56  57  58  58  57
RH..............47  39  34  32  27  27  25  25  24
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..15  17  18  21  21  21  21  18  15
20 FT wind gust.21  24  26  28  30  30  28  26  21
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   9   9   10  10  10  10  9   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  12  13  14  15  15  14  13  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.9 3.8 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.3 5.8 5.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.35  37  39  41  43  43  41  38  35
Haines index....5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3400-4800 ft AGL decreasing to 100-2000 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest 23 to 30 mph decreasing to 8 to 16
                    mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  10  11  11  12  12  13  13  13  14  20  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  49  47  46  42  41  40  38  37  35  34  33
RH..............28  33  34  35  41  41  42  46  48  52  54  56
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  9   8   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.16  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 3.4 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.30  23  16  12  9   9   10  9   9   9   9   8
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2700-4600 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon, then increasing to
                    3800-5500 ft AGL late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 2000 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........33     31     31     34     34     34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............33     36     44     54     60     59
RH..............56     54     41     30     22     23
20 ft wind......NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   N 3    N 3    N 3
20 ft wind gust.4                                  4
Eye level wind..NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   N 2    N 2    N 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (ft)....100    200    1100   2700   4600   3800
Transport wind..NW 8   NW 7   NW 7   N 7    N 9    N 8
Haines index....4      4      4      5      5      5

$$
Forecaster...Martello
Requested by...Chris Hanson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800664.0/FWD
.EMAIL CCVFD55@gmail.com



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.