Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 200323
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for E. Cabezon...BIA
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
923 PM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 MDT on October 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Winds will increase from the west southwest today
as an upper level storm system approaches from the west. Smoke
dispersal will rise to excellent over much of the area as
transport winds increase through the afternoon. Little chance of
precipitation is expected until late tonight and early Saturday as
a cold front moves southeast. Winds will shift to northwesterly
behind the front as temperatures cool. Isolated rain and snow
showers in the higher terrain will diminish quickly by daybreak
Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%).
Max temperature.....58-63 F.
Min humidity........26-31%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 MPH, increasing to southwest with
                    gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor then fair until 1000, increasing to excellent
by 1400.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Mixing height.......increasing to 8500 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%), then becoming partly
                    cloudy (40-50%).
Min temperature.....35-40 F.
Max humidity........58-63%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1700, decreasing to fair then poor by 1900.
Haines Index........4 low.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL, decreasing to 1100 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....West 20 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%).
Max temperature.....48-53 F.
Min humidity........13-18%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, increasing to fair then good by 1400.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Mixing height.......increasing to 6300 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....West 15 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Jeff Colton/Andrew Lyons
Requested by...SUA
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717242.2/GJT
.EMAIL jesse.ramirez@bia.gov


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