Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 272141
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER CREEK...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
341 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1521 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE CURRENT RADAR IMAGE IS INDICATING SHOWERS
APPROXIMATELY 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST ARIZONA WILL MOVE EAST
OVERNIGHT, SLIDING A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE FIRE AREA. THIS WILL
RESULT IN LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY ONCE
AGAIN ON SUNDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%)THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11100 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (58700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LARRY SMITH
REQUESTED BY...JAIME PONCE DE LEON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160827.SILVE.02/GJT



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