Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FNUS73 KGLD 181616
FWSGLD

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CHEYENNE CO OIL FIRE...EMERGENCY MANAGMENT/NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1016 AM MDT MON MAY 18 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1111 CDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT PASSED THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING. AS
A RESULT...COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TODAY. HIGHS
WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. LIGHT
NORTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER EAST BY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH
THE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE ADVECTION RETURNING...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY READINGS WILL STRUGGLE TO FALL. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE 40 TO
50 PERCENT RANGE.

TONIGHT...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BEGINS TO PROPAGATE
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. AS A RESULT...CLOUDY...COOL AND
RAINY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A
SIGNIFICANT WETTING RAIN EVENT IS FORECAST WITH MOST
LOCATIONS RECEIVING OVER AN INCH OF RAIN.

IN THE END...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER 2 PM CDT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........65     61     57
TEMP............54     58     61
RH..............59     49     46
20 FT WIND......N 9    NE 8   E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........53     66     73     83     89     94
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58     52     48     45     44     42
RH..............54     68     79     89     93     100
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 12   E 10   E 12   E 12   E 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15            15     15     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3      2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO GLD
REQUESTED BY...RYAN MURRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150518.CHEYE.01/GLD



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