Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 281908
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for White Property RX...Montecito Fire Department
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1208 PM PDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty North winds will reform tonight (Tuesday) but about 20 mph
weaker than last night. These winds will weaken quickly Wednesday
morning and turn weakly onshore by the afternoon. North winds should
then gradually increase Wednesday night through Thursday at the
ridgetops, but lower elevations may not experience that increase as
much. All areas will see a sharp and quick increase late Thursday
afternoon and evening as strong north flow forms in a similar manner
and speed to last night. Gusts over 60 mph are likely in the hills
with gusts over 40 mph in the lower elevations. These winds will
weaken but remain occasionally gusty Friday into Saturday.
Humidities should stay above 30 percent at the burn site through
Thursday morning, but could lower into the teens Thursday night as
the winds increase.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....78.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable 2 mph becoming southwest 4 mph with occasional
                    gusts to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North 5 mph with occasional gusts to 10 mph early
                    becoming variable 4 mph...then southwest 6 mph with
                    occasional gusts to 10 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........North 8 mph with gusts to 15 mph early becoming
                    12 mph with gusts to 20 mph late in the afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....62.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Eye level winds.....West 4 mph with occasional gusts to 6 mph early
                    becoming north 5 mph with occasional gusts to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West 6 mph with occasional gusts to 10 mph early
                    becoming north 8 mph with occasional gusts to 20 mph.
 Ridgetop...........North 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....73.
Min humidity........40 percent. Lowering more in the evening.
Eye level winds.....North 5 mph with occasional gusts to 10 mph early becoming
                    southwest 4 mph with gusts to 8 mph...then north late
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North 8 mph with occasional gusts to 20 mph early becoming
                    southwest 6 mph with gusts to 12 mph...then north late
                    in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........North 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
                    Winds strengthening quickly in the evening.

$$
Forecaster...KITTELL
Requested by...Maeve Juarez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705359.0/LOX
.EMAIL mjuarez@montecitofire.com


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