Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FNUS76 KLOX 202252
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK FLAT PILE BURN...UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE / SANTA CLARA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
252 PM PST FRI JAN 20 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 PST ON JANUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...POST FRONTAL SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT AS
A STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. PARTLY SUNNY
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE
SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE AHEAD OF ANOTHER, STRONGER STORM
SYSTEM. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...AHEAD
OF HEAVY RAIN ON SUNDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN VERY HIGH THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH COOL TEMPERATURES.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    35 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    8 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
                    MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...HECTOR HERNANDEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700594.0/LOX
.EMAIL HHERNANDEZ@FS.FED.US



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