Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 301152
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKFORK SITE PREP 3...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
652 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTH ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT WITH SOME
GUSTING. THE LOWER DEW POINTS IN NORTH ARKANSAS WILL BE SLOW TO
WORK SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH
THE DAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........93 AT IGNITION...MAX 97.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6
                    TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5100 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6165 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............93  95  96  96  97  97
RH..............57  54  50  49  48  46
20 FT WIND DIR..E   NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5           10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   NE  E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   3   3   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   7
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  30  30  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 75.
RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2950 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............96  94  91  87  84  82  81  80  79  78  77  76
RH..............48  49  52  58  63  62  62  63  62  64  64  66
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10      5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.10  5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   8   8   9   10  10  12  12  13  13  13
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

$$
FORECASTER...L PYLE
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150730.BLACK.01/LZK



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