Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 240855
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for White Oak Demo (planning)...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
355 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...

Another dry day will be seen this Mon...but winds will remain
fairly light. Southerly winds increase for Tue...but these winds
will also bring increasing moisture to the state. Rain chances
return Tue night and especially Wed into Wed night as a new storm
system moves into the region.


.TODAY...

Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................47 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds west at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........11 increasing to 21 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 6.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5597 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  61  66  68  69  71  71  71
RH..............47  39  34  32  30  29  28  28
20 FT wind dir..W   W   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   3   5   6   7   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 53.
RH..................Max 68 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Stability class.....E.
20 Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........26 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5556 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70  68  65  63  61  60  59  58  57  56  56  55
RH..............28  29  34  38  43  47  51  55  58  60  63  65
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Temperature.........Max 77.
RH..................Min 44 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 16 to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Dispersion..........14 increasing to 66.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5797 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  54  58  62  66  68  71  73  74  75  76  76
RH..............67  68  62  57  52  49  46  44  44  44  45  48
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   6   10  16  21  23  23  23  24  24  25  25
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...W Gilmore
Requested by...Michael Haisten
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707617.0/LZK
.EMAIL Mhaisten@fs.fed.us



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