Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 222258
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Abney Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
358 PM PDT Fri Sep 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PDT on September 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A dry and warming trend has begun as a thermal trough
sets along the coast and high pressure builds aloft. This will cause
near to slightly below normal temperatures this weekend to gradually
warm to slightly above normal  by early next week. Eats winds,
especially overnight, will cause humidity to drop, and ridgetop
recoveries will suffer more as each day goes by. Winds will be
variable depending on location, and different drainages are likely
to see different regimes. However, despite the day/night differences
in the basins, the prevailing winds will be north to northeast
through Sunday. The dray and warm conditions will persist through
at least midweek.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Ridges.....60-65. Highest elevations around 55.
Valleys....65-70. Lowest elevations around 73.
Min humidity........Ridges.....Around 40 percent.
Valleys....Around 35 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Applegate basin...North around 3 mph in the
                        morning, increasing to around 5 mph in the
                        afternoon.
                    Klamath basin.....East to Southeast around 3 mph
                        in the morning, becoming north 5 to 8 mph in
                        the afternoon.
Ridges............North around 3 mph in the
                        morning, increasing to 8 to 10 mph in the
                        afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Applegate basin...North around 5 mph in the
                        morning, increasing to around 8 mph in the
                        afternoon.
                    Klamath basin.....East to Southeast around 5 mph
                        in the morning, becoming north 10 to 14 mph in
                        the afternoon.
Ridges............North around 5 mph in the
                        morning, increasing to 12 to 15 mph in the
                        afternoon.
Mixing height.......Around 500 ft AGL in the morning, increasing to
                    3000-4000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....35-40.
Min humidity........Ridges.....75-80 percent.
Valleys....85-90 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Northeast around 3 mph in the evening, becoming
                    east overnight. Expect some light downslope component.
WIND (20 FT)........Northeast around 5 mph in the evening, becoming
                    east overnight. Expect some light downslope component.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to less than 500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Ridges.....60-65.
Valleys....70-75.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Applegate basin...North around 3 mph in the
                        morning, increasing to around 5 mph in the
                        afternoon.
                    Klamath basin.....Northeast around 3 mph
                        in the morning, becoming north 4 to 6 mph in
                        the afternoon.
Ridges............North around 3 mph in the
                        morning, increasing to 5 to 8 mph in the
                        afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Applegate basin...North around 5 mph in the
                        morning, increasing to around 8 mph in the
                        afternoon.
                    Klamath basin.....Northeast around 5 mph
                        in the morning, becoming north 8 to 10 mph in
                        the afternoon.
Ridges............North around 5 mph in the
                        morning, increasing to 10 to 13 mph in the
                        afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 4000-5000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...NIEUWENHUIS
Requested by...Plans
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1716109.1/MFR



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