Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 190701
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Riverside Preserve...Twin Creeks Land & Forest Management LLC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
201 AM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0200 EST on January 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build in from the west today through the
weekend. A cold front will cross the region Tuesday morning
followed by high pressure on Wednesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......Max 2100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 19320 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 23.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)         6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............21  23  26  31  37  42  46  50  51  51  51  48
RH.................92  84  78  69  56  46  40  34  33  33  34  40
20 FT wind dir.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd.....3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust....5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.5
Transp wind dir....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   7   6
LVORI..............6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI................5   5   4   5   5   7   17  23  22  20  17  11
Haines index.......4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..1   1   1   1   2   7   13  19  18  17  14  8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 28.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening, becoming light, then becoming
                    southwest around 5 mph after midnight, becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 919 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 2.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............43  40  38  37  35  35  34  33  33  32  31  31
RH.................53  62  67  70  75  72  75  75  75  75  78  78
20 FT wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd.....4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....5   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
LVORI..............2   3   3   3   4   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI................2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index.......4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning, becoming light, then becoming
                    southwest 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 2100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph, increasing to 9 to 13
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 23804 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 30.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............0      1      1      2      3      6
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............30     33     45     53     58     58
RH.................81     82     53     38     34     36
20 ft wind.........SW 4   SW 3   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 5
20 ft wind gust....5      5
Mix hgt (ft).......300    300    300    1200   1800   2100
Transport wind.....SW 3   SW 5   SW 8   SW 10  SW 13  SW 12
LVORI..............5      4      2      2      2      2
ADI................3      5      6      17     28     29
Haines index.......4      4      4      4      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1000..1      1      2      13     22     24

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 7 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 804 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Min 1.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)         6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%)............11     12     10     15     14     5
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............50     44     41     39     38     37
RH.................50     62     70     76     79     85
20 ft wind.........SW 5   SW 5   SW 6   W 5    W 5    W 4
20 ft wind gust....                                   5
Mix hgt (ft).......900    300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind.....W 7    W 5    SW 5   W 3    W 3    W 3
LVORI..............2      3      3      4      4      5
ADI................3      2      2      2      2      2
Haines index.......4      4      4      4      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1000..6      1      1      1      1      1


$$

Forecaster...Austin
Requested by...B. Barnhill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800600.0/MHX
.EMAIL brianbarnhill910@yahoo.com


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