Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 291005
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAPE CANAVERAL RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
605 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT WESTERLY COMPONENT WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM
THE SURFACE THROUGH MIXING HEIGHT THROUGH LATE MORNING THEN
BECOME ONSHORE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF A SEA BREEZE AROUND 11 AM
TO NOON. TRANSPORT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY WESTERLY
COMPONENT HOWEVER. SOME SMOKE TRANSPORT ONSHORE IS POSSIBLE
SHOULD IT NOT BE LOFTED COMPLETELY ABOVE THE LOWER LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON MAINLY WEST
                    OF THE CAPE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT TO CALM WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO
                    6 MPH MID MORNING THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4 TO 8 MPH DECREASING THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE EAST AROUND 12 MPH MID AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 MORNING INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35  35  35  35  45  45  45  45
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............78  80  82  83  84  84  83  83
RH..............77  70  67  65  63  63  64  65
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  VAR NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   5   9   12  12  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.                15  15  13  12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 6 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........45     50     50     50     37     37
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............81     78     76     75     74     73
RH..............68     75     81     82     84     85
20 FT WIND......E 8    SE 6   S 6    S 5    S 3    SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10                          5      5
LVORI...........3      4      4      4      5      5

.MEMORIAL DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-2600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO
                    8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........37     37     37     37     47     47
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73     73     80     84     86     85
RH..............86     90     69     61     57     59
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 5    W 7    NW 7   NE 7   E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5                                  10

$$
FORECASTER...PENDERGRAST
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT TRINCADO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160529.CAPEC.01/MLB


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