Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 231227
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 507A...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
727 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS EACH DAY.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...ATCHY FOG...SOME DENSE...WILL
CONTINUE EACH NIGHT ESPECIALLY NEAR AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2600 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 39.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........44     44     60     60
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............85     86     87     87
RH................67     63     62     64
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SE     S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      7      8
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2100   2100   3500   2600
MIX HGT (M).......640    640    1070   790
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      9      12     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      5      6
DISPERSION........25     25     40     37
LVORI.............3      3      1      3
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C
CWR...............20     20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 9.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 8.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........60     45     45     45     38     38
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............85     82     79     79     77     75
RH................68     74     80     83     88     93
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      SSW    SSW    SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....8      7      6      6      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2600   1600   600    600    500    300
MIX HGT (M).......790    490    180    180    150    90
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW     SSW    S
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     12     10     10     9      8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      5      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........37     13     9      9      4      4
LVORI.............3      3      4      4      5      8
STABILITY CLASS...C      F      F      F      F      F

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........38     58     58     58     47     47
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............74     77     84     87     87     86
RH................97     88     71     66     65     68
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     WSW    SW     SW     SSW    SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      7      7      10     11
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......300    300    1600   1600   2900   2100
MIX HGT (M).......90     90     490    490    880    640
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      W      W      W      SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      9      12     12     15     16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      5      5      7      7
DISPERSION........4      10     24     24     47     32
LVORI.............8      4      3      3      1      3
STABILITY CLASS...F      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............20     30     30     30     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...12
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140723.507A_.01/MOB







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