Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 201044
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 7310...USFS Desoto NF
National Weather Service Mobile AL
444 AM CST Sat Jan 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on January 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light southeast winds will shift to more southerly
today through Sunday as a front approaches the area. This front is
expected to cross the area Monday afternoon. Best chance of rain for
burn site is expected Monday. With moisture levels on the increase,
isolated light fog development is possible.

*NOTE - No observation supplied from on-site with no other observation
within 15 miles of the burn site. Forecast will be less applicable to burn
as a result. *

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000-1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...305-488 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....22.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........56     55     57     60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............52     60     64     62
RH..............59     51     46     54
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     S      S
20 FT wind spd..4      5      5      5
20 FT wind gust.5      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1500   1600   1400
Mix hgt (m).....300    460    490    430
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SE     S
Transp wind spd.15     10     10     14
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     SE     S
Trans spd (m/s).7      4      4      6
Dispersion idx..19     21     21     22
LVORI...........2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100-1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...30-335 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 17 mph decreasing to 6 to 7 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 8 meters/second decreasing to
                    around 3 meters/second in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Dispersion index....7.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........62     54     44     36     35     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     51     47     45     45     44
RH..............67     80     89     93     93     96
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..4      4      3      3      2      2
20 FT wind gust.5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   700    400    300    200    100
Mix hgt (m).....340    210    120    90     60     30
Transp wind dir.S      SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
Transp wind spd.17     12     7      7      6      6
Trans wind dir..S      SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
Trans spd (m/s).8      5      3      3      3      3
Dispersion idx..11     7      5      3      3      3
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      7

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2000-2300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...30-610 meters AGL increasing to 610-701 meters
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph increasing to 14 to 17
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 5 meters/second increasing to 6
                    to 8 meters/second in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 38.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........32     35     36     36     45     53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............47     52     60     69     71     67
RH..............86     80     67     53     51     61
20 FT wind dir..E      SE     SE     S      S      SE
20 FT wind spd..2      3      4      5      6      6
20 FT wind gust.5      5      5      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....100    700    1400   2000   2200   2200
Mix hgt (m).....30     210    430    610    670    670
Transp wind dir.E      SE     SE     S      SE     SE
Transp wind spd.6      12     17     15     14     15
Trans wind dir..E      SE     SE     S      SE     SE
Trans spd (m/s).3      5      8      7      6      7
Dispersion idx..6      12     29     38     39     40
LVORI...........5      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800633.0/MOB
.EMAIL cliffwillis@fs.fed.us



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