Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 211331
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Spot Forecast for Unit 12 Slash Piles...FWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
831 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on June 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather expected today with a few showers and
thunderstorms possible nearby tonight. Southeast winds will be
somewhat gusty today. Humidity will remain moderate.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Temperature.........64 at ignition...Max 78.
RH..................70 percent at ignition...Min 48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 5 to 9
                    mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2200-3700
                    ft AGL increasing to 4100-4700 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 23 mph shifting to the south
                    around 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........Southeast 14 to 23 mph shifting to the south
                    around 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /26200 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /75200 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (83000 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............64  67  70  72  74  76  77  78  78  78
RH..............70  65  59  55  51  48  48  48  50  52
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   8   9   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  15  15  20  20  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.14  16  16  16  16  17  18  21  23  25
Mixing wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Mixing wind spd.14  16  16  16  16  17  18  21  23  25
Haines index....4   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100026  45  53  58  63  68  75  83  87  90

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog in the
                    late evening and overnight. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Temperature.........Min 59.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    after midnight becoming light. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......2100-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1500 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 26 mph becoming northwest 7 to 13
                    mph late in the evening.
Mixing winds........South 17 to 26 mph becoming northwest 7 to 13
                    mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (39300-88300 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor to fair (1900-22200 knot-ft)
                    in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............76     71     66     63     61     59
RH..............58     73     87     93     97     100
20 ft wind......S 6    S 6    S 5    SW 4   W 5    NW 5
20 ft wind gust.10     10            5
Mix hgt (ft)....3900   2700   1500   300    300    400
Transport wind..S 26   S 24   S 17   SW 9   W 10   NW 9
Mixing wind.....S 26   S 24   S 17   SW 9   W 10   NW 9
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100088     57     22     2      2      3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the late
                    morning and afternoon. Chance of precipitation
                    40 percent.
Temperature.........Max 74.
RH..................Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-1600 ft AGL increasing to 2600-4500 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 14 mph shifting to the west 10
                    to 16 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........Northwest 5 to 14 mph shifting to the west 10
                    to 16 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2700-42700 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to excellent (24500-64000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to or high.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............60     67     72     73     73     74
RH..............93     70     57     53     53     51
20 ft wind......N 3    NW 4   NW 4   W 4    W 5    W 6
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1300   2600   4500   3400   3100
Transport wind..N 6    NW 5   NW 10  W 16   W 13   W 10
Mixing wind.....N 6    NW 5   NW 10  W 16   W 13   W 10
Haines index....4      5      5      4      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/10003      6      22     64     36     28

$$
Forecaster...BORGHOFF
Requested by...Kris Larson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1711377.0/MPX
.EMAIL kris_larson@fws.gov



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