Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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945
FNUS74 KOUN 240037
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORT TERM SEVERITY STAFFING...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
637 PM CST MON JAN 23 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0000 CST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (405) 325-3816, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CRITICAL TO NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS HUMIDITY LEVELS
FALL TO NEAR 20 PERCENT AND TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 65 TO 70.

A COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE A WIND SHIFT TUESDAY EVENING WITH MODERATE
TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. MUCH COOLER ON WEDNESDAY
BUT WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE NORTH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17 TO 22 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4200-6100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7700-8700
                    FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17
                    TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3200-37100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (79100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (164400
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (80000
                    KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    GOOD (38200 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........32     29     22     15     7      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45     46     53     62     66     65
RH..............76     73     54     36     26     24
20 FT WIND......S 10   SW 10  SW 14  SW 18  SW 22  W 20
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     30     35     30
MIX HGT (FT)....300    BLW100 2100   6100   8700   6200
MIX HGT (M).....90     BLW10M 640    1860   2650   1890
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13   S 18   SW 29  SW 40  W 46   SW 36
TRANSP WIND DIR.190    200    220    240    250    240
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6    S 8    SW 13  SW 18  W 21   SW 16
VRATE KTFT/1000.3      79     164    213    165    80

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........5      2      2      6      6      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............59     53     48     37     34     33
RH..............28     35     42     56     66     72
20 FT WIND......W 16   W 13   W 12   NW 8   NW 8   NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....300    BLW100 300    400    500    600
MIX HGT (M).....90     BLW10M 90     120    150    180
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16  W 13   W 13   W 12   NW 14  NW 15
TRANSP WIND DIR.240    250    260    290    320    330
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7   W 6    W 6    W 5    NW 6   NW 7
VRATE KTFT/1000.4      0      0      4      4      6

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3900-5400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (11700-60900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........9         18        13        11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............31        34        42        47
RH..............78        66        48        40
20 FT WIND......NW 9G15   NW 12G15  NW 12G15  NW 12G15
MIX HGT (FT)....1000      2400      3800      5400
MIX HGT (M).....300       730       1160      1650
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15     N 23      NW 18     NW 20
TRANSP WIND DIR.330       340       330       310
TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 7      N 10      NW 8      NW 9
VRATE KTFT/1000.13        42        61        35

$$
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN LILLIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 1700681.0/OUN
.EMAIL NATHAN.LILLIE@BIA.GOV



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