Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
000
FNUS73 KPAH 251739
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR NEW HOPE...USFS SHAWNEE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1239 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 25.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TODAY AND REMAIN
IN THE AREA INTO THURSDAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT, AND
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH NEAR TO BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON SUNDAY, WITH SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES RETURNING BY MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST SOUTHWEST AT 5-6 MPH. WINDS COULD BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES
                              AND MAY BECOME NORTHERLY/NORTHEASTERLY BY LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200-3100
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 28 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........20     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............68     70
RH..............58     49
20 FT WIND......WSW 6   WSW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 84 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 33 TO
                    40 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 43 TO 49 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 38 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........54     79     91     95     96     98
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
TEMP............68     62     57     53     50     49
RH..............56     76     94     100    100    100
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 3   SE 6   S 7    SW 8   NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5                    10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................84 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 33 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........99     100    99     93     85     72
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........DEFNTE
TEMP............47     46     47     47     48     48
RH..............100    89     81     76     69     63
20 FT WIND......N 13   N 14   N 13   N 12   N 12   N 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...NATE HEIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.NEWHO.01/PAH



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.