Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS71 KPBZ 011921
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED CREEK FIRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
321 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1510 EDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS THE
UPPER LOW REMAINS IN THE VICINITY OF THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. PRECIPITATION IS
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH NO MORE THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH EXPECTED.
HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN HIGH AND SUSTAINED WIND WILL BE 5-8MPH WITH SOME
GUSTS TO 15MPH POSSIBLE.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY...BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............56  58  61  59  57  55  53  51  48  46  44  42  44  46  49
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH         SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW          RW  RW
TSTM COV............ISO ISO ISO
TEMP................62  63  64  62  60  58  57  56  56  55  54  54  53  52  52
RH..................74  71  68  74  79  84  85  85  86  87  88  89  90  91  92
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............51  53  55  56  57  59  60  61  62  63  65  66
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  51  52  54  56  57  59  61  63  64  66  64
RH..................94  96  83  79  77  75  70  66  62  58  55  57
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  15  15

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............65  64  63  61  59  57  55  53  51  50  48  47
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63  61  60  57  55  54  53  52  51  51  51  50
RH..................60  63  66  74  79  82  84  86  88  89  90  92
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............45     42     43     44     45     48
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50     49     53     58     61     64
RH..................95     97     86     71     60     59
20 FT WIND..........W 5    NW 5   NW 5   NW 4   NW 4   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...AMILLER
REQUESTED BY...CAMERON CRISP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20161001.REDCR.02/PBZ



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