Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FNUS73 KSGF 070144
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY ELBOW...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
744 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AND BECOME GUSTY AT 15 TO 30 MPH
AT TIMES, SWITCHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST.  AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 35 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH.

TIME (CST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........12     10     29     39     50     48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............46     42     40     39     38     36
RH..............42     53     59     62     64     72
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 3   SW 4   SW 5   SW 5   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5             10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      2      3      3      4      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTHWEST TO WEST.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500-2300 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 5100-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 36 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........47     43     47     61     53     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36     40     45     50     53     50
RH..............72     67     55     44     38     41
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 6   SW 8   W 9    W 9    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...LINDENBERG
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.PINEY.01/SGF



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